Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $292,758.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster backs underdog
Eight wallets put $111k behind Sweden, including a highly profitable 89% winner with $2.3M lifetime profit, though the market has since moved against them.
- A bettor who wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime joined this Sweden position.
- Eight wallets put $111k on Sweden or against France in the same window.
- Sweden is now around 6¢, much cheaper than the cluster’s roughly 15¢ entry.
$111,813 on Sweden
Three-wallet Sweden contrarian cluster
Three wallets are taking the same contrarian Sweden position, including a large profitable bettor and related cross-market positioning across the event.
- Three wallets put $25.3k on the Sweden side despite France being a heavy favorite.
- The largest bettor in the group is up $466k lifetime across 247 resolved markets.
- The same flow spans 8 related event markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
$25,305 on Sweden
97% win-rate bettor
A high-hit-rate sports bettor with 133 wins in 137 resolved positions bought France at 89¢, though the bet is modest relative to this very liquid market.
- This bettor has won 133 of 137 resolved positions, a 97% hit rate.
- They are buying France at 89¢ in a major, highly liquid sports market.
- The stake is modest at $2.8k, but the wallet’s track record makes the trade worth watching.
$2,835 on France | Wallet win rate: 97%
93% winner backing favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying France despite the market already being highly liquid and priced as a favorite.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $23.4K lifetime.
- They have traded across 25 events with $553K in tracked cross-market volume.
- Buying France at 89¢ suggests they still see value in the heavy favorite.
$2,225 on France | Wallet win rate: 93%
99% winner backs favorite
Elite 99% lifetime winner with a large profitable sample bought France despite a very liquid market, supported by a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $244K lifetime.
- They have traded 251 related events with the same 99% hit rate, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- A 36x pre-event volume spike adds momentum behind the France side.
$3,950 on France | Wallet win rate: 99%
91% sports bettor
Surface: the bettor has a strong 10-of-11 resolved track record at non-trivial average odds, though the negative reported P&L and very liquid market make this a moderate-confidence copy signal.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved positions, with past wins coming around 51¢ on average.
- They are backing the heavy favorite at 89¢ with a $2,950 buy on a highly liquid market.
- Market activity is elevated, with volume running 16.8x above its historical average.
$2,950 on France | Wallet win rate: 91%
463-win sharp on favorite
Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 463-2 resolved record bought France despite an already efficient, liquid market.
- This bettor has won 463 of 465 resolved trades and is up $282k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with over $1.0M deployed across 371 events.
- Entry at 89¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite bet, with room only up to 95¢.
$1,113 on France | Wallet win rate: 100%
New whale on favorite
A brand-new wallet put $32k on France amid a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting high-conviction positioning before the match.
- A wallet less than 2 hours old made a $32k bet on France to advance.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 40x above its historical average.
- Buying at 89¢ means this bettor is risking big capital for a relatively small payout, signaling strong confidence.
$32,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% winner backing favorite
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 93% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying France despite the market being liquid and near favorite pricing.
- This bettor has won 27 of 29 resolved trades and is up $1,983 lifetime.
- They are backing France at 89¢, adding conviction to the heavy favorite in a liquid market.
- Their average winning bet was around 61¢, so this track record is not just from buying huge favorites.
$1,800 on France | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial sports bettor with an 86% record made a $67k France buy amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 133 bets and is profitable lifetime.
- They put $67k on France at 89¢, a large concentrated position even in a liquid market.
- This wallet has traded across 32 events, and this market just saw a 56x volume spike versus its usual pace.
$66,999 on France | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x03e8...1697 — Outcome 28585339, $459,459 (58% win rate)
- 0xe72b...b0a0 — Outcome 28585339, $247,100 (44% win rate)
- 0x7e5e...7315 — Outcome 28585339, $186,859 (54% win rate)
- 0x087d...b872 — Outcome 28585339, $95,991 (66% win rate)
- 0xf28e...cab2 — Outcome 28585339, $66,932 (89% win rate)
- 0xa66c...cd67 — Outcome 28585339, $59,626 (57% win rate)
- 0x23c8...f293 — Outcome 28585339, $50,298 (44% win rate)
- 0xfe1c...436c — Outcome 28585339, $42,857 (67% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 28585339, $42,341 (62% win rate)
- 0x62ca...1760 — Outcome 28585339, $41,722 (95% win rate)
