Part of: US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen

Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 3.5

This Polymarket tennis market covers the Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for September 8, 2026. It resolves to Over if at least four sets are played and Under if fewer than four sets are played; the supplied metadata tracks $3,000 in smart money across one signal.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,000.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

97% win-rate tennis specialist

A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and 455 resolved positions made a concentrated purchase in a very thin market.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 455 resolved positions and is up $418,491.
  • The $3,000 Over bet was more than five times the market's 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The entry at 68¢ implies the bettor sees Over 3.5 sets as substantially more likely than the market initially priced it.

$3,000 on Over 3.5 | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 10666201, $600
  2. 0x7609...6c4e Outcome 10666201, $200 (72% win rate)
  3. 0x357a...951e Outcome 10666201, $35
  4. 0x5929...4684 Outcome 10666201, $18 (76% win rate)
  5. 0xe461...c5ae Outcome 10666201, $14
  6. 0x1a21...5890 Outcome 10666201, $6
  7. 0x3404...10d2 Outcome 10666201, $5
  8. 0x6e14...1511 Outcome 10666201, $4
  9. 0xeb08...36f3 Outcome 10666201, $3

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 3.5

3dUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen$3,000 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 4, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered determined if it would have been guaranteed had the match been played to completion using the minimum number of additional sets required. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Grand Slam statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Over 3.5
68¢
58¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 3.5

3d ago

$3,000 on Over 3.5 at 68¢

Related Theses