Part of: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,773.

Categories: Sports, Esports, league of legends, Games

Notable Trades

Volume-spike bettor adding to ThunderTalk

A trader with a modestly positive record is adding to a ThunderTalk position amid an extreme 1,206x pre-event volume surge, though the existing position weakens the fresh-conviction signal.

The market saw a dramatic 1,206x surge over its historical trading baseline, suggesting unusually strong event-related interest.
This bettor is scaling into ThunderTalk at 43¢ after already investing $6,000 in the same outcome.
The wallet is profitable overall at $36,872, but its 56% win rate is only moderate and does not independently establish a sharp edge.

$2,560 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 55%

Proven sharp backs ThunderTalk

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,112 bet on ThunderTalk amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor wins 84% of 1,211 resolved trades and is up over $1.06 million.
They are buying ThunderTalk at 41¢, implying substantially better odds than the market's roughly 40% pricing.
The trade coincided with a 1,938x historical volume spike, while this wallet has traded across 317 events.

$2,112 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp bettor leads three-wallet push

Three wallets added roughly $103,000 to Anyone's Legend, including a highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate, while the market has risen 25% over the past week.

Three wallets bought about $103,000 of Anyone's Legend, exceeding the market's entire recent 24-hour volume.
One bettor has won 96% of 23 resolved trades and earned $170,840 on $876,049 invested.
All three wallets were already positioned near 60¢ and are adding, signaling increased conviction as the price climbs.

$81,101 on Anyones Legend

Sharp bettor scaling into Anyone's Legend

A highly profitable serial trader with a 79% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $10,000 to an existing Anyone's Legend position at 58%.

This bettor wins 79% of 126 resolved positions and is up $511,684 lifetime.
They are adding $10,000 to an existing $17,212 position, signaling increased conviction at 58%.
The wallet trades across 92 events and 115 markets, with a 35-point edge over its average implied odds.

$10,000 on Anyone's Legend | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0x3af1...d739 — Outcome 10879414, $84,650 (48% win rate)
0x4a41...f4c4 — Outcome 10879414, $60,901 (100% win rate)
0xe015...6ffd — Outcome 10879414, $53,701 (91% win rate)
0x37e9...eede — Outcome 10879414, $11,790 (79% win rate)
0x282f...7c4e — Outcome 10879414, $10,000 (89% win rate)
0xf184...c2d7 — Outcome 10879414, $8,000 (98% win rate)
0xfbf3...b218 — Outcome 10879414, $3,270 (45% win rate)
0x4505...ec35 — Outcome 10879414, $3,222 (88% win rate)
0x69b1...2687 — Outcome 10879414, $2,032 (84% win rate)
0x0359...fda7 — Outcome 10879414, $1,825 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

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Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$95,773 tracked4 signalsSportsEsportsleague of legendsGames

This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 1 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend wins 2 or more games than ThunderTalk Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Anyone's Legend”

102¢

68¢

33¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction