Part of: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,673.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp serial trader in six-wallet cluster

Six wallets concentrated $17.8K on Bilibili Gaming, including a serial trader with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge, though the position has since fallen to zero.

  • A bettor with 94% wins across 115 resolved trades and $105K profit bought $3,840 of Bilibili Gaming at 64¢.
  • Six wallets committed $17,833 to the same esports handicap, including several traders adding to existing positions.
  • The market has since moved from roughly 60¢ to 0¢, making this a notable failed thesis rather than a live copy opportunity.

$17,833 on Bilibili Gaming

94% winner scales into Bilibili

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $3,840 to an existing Bilibili Gaming position at 64%.

  • This bettor has won 107 of 114 resolved trades and earned $105,404 in profit.
  • The $3,840 purchase adds to an existing $6,000 Bilibili Gaming position, signaling increased conviction.
  • The trade is priced at 64¢ in a relatively quiet market, where this serial cross-market trader has deployed $281,713 across 58 markets.

$3,840 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf949...3220 Outcome 13417345, $6,000 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x56b9...79a2 Outcome 13417345, $2,500 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xd331...733c Outcome 13417345, $1,989 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x3752...2f08 Outcome 13417345, $858 (76% win rate)
  5. 0xf2bb...3250 Outcome 13417345, $820
  6. 0x4fb0...6197 Outcome 13417345, $511
  7. 0x8059...f1f3 Outcome 13417345, $500
  8. 0xbe2b...20e4 Outcome 13417345, $490 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x82b0...7c38 Outcome 13417345, $473 (87% win rate)
  10. 0xf4ec...c574 Outcome 13417345, $295 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

Karmine wins, T1 takes Game 3

Covers 3 related markets

Hormuz disruptions persist past July

Covers 1 related market

England advances past Norway

Covers 1 related market

Team WE wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Côte d'Ivoire won't win

Covers 1 related market

Hanwha beats Bilibili

Covers 2 related markets

Germany Paraguay under 4.5

Covers 1 related market

England fails to win

Covers 1 related market

Belgium Senegal stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Spain-Austria under 3.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$21,673 tracked2 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 29 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming wins 2 or more games than LGD Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LGD Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

10d ago

$17,833 on Bilibili Gaming at 64¢

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

10d ago

$3,840 on Bilibili Gaming at 64¢

Related Theses