Part of: Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)
This Polymarket tracks the Dota 2 game handicap for Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC in DreamLeague Group A: Team Falcons must win by 2 or more maps for the Falcons side to cash, otherwise ex-HEROIC +1.5 wins. Odds update live on Polymarket, with PolySpotter currently tracking $1,010 in smart money and 1 signal for this market. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 14, 2026 at 19:30 UTC, subject to the match being completed.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between ex-HEROIC and Team Falcons in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 14 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more games than ex-HEROIC in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ex-HEROIC". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,960.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite 80% esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with an 80% long-run win rate and nearly $298k profit bought Team Falcons at 62¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 1,613 positions and is up about $298k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 32 events, 38 markets, and $65.6k flagged in similar event-based positioning.
- Buying at 62¢ implies they see Team Falcons covering the handicap as materially more likely than the market price.
$1,010 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 80%
New repeat whale scaling up
A 3-day-old repeat whale with early profits is making another large, concentrated bet on a thin Dota 2 handicap market.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts totaling about $34.9K.
- The bettor is 2-for-2 so far and up $3.9K on $9.1K invested.
- This $2.95K buy was over 10x the market’s recent 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a thin market.
$2,950 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x8725...eb10 — Team Falcons, $7,031 (80% win rate)
- 0xc117...de2f — Team Falcons, $5,568 (100% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — ex-HEROIC, $5,500 (48% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — ex-HEROIC, $3,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x1c98...186d — ex-HEROIC, $2,265 (95% win rate)
- 0xc4db...7e0c — ex-HEROIC, $1,508 (43% win rate)
- 0x5011...94b4 — ex-HEROIC, $955 (37% win rate)
- 0x13c7...11d9 — ex-HEROIC, $784 (49% win rate)
- 0x6fc4...c89d — Team Falcons, $670 (100% win rate)
- 0x0193...bad1 — Team Falcons, $543
Related Theses
Falcons sweep ex-HEROIC
Covers 1 related market
