Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
This Polymarket handicap market covers Karmine Corp (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) in the LEC Playoffs lower bracket quarterfinal. It resolves to Karmine Corp if KC wins by 2 or more games; otherwise it resolves to Natus Vincere, with final resolution scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 21:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $2,244 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 2 or more games than Natus Vincere in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Natus Vincere". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,837.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Natus Vincere on a niche esports handicap despite recent price weakness, making it a moderate copy-trade signal.
- This bettor has 133 resolved trades, wins 59%, and is up $101,788 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 75 events and $535k tracked across related markets.
- Bought Natus Vincere at 44¢; the market now sits near 40¢, offering a cheaper entry than the trader got.
$2,244 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Karmine Corp at 57¢ during a rapid 16.5-point move, suggesting momentum-backed conviction despite a modest stake.
- This bettor is up $164k across 342 resolved markets with a 59% win record.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with 117 events and $349k tracked in this pattern.
- Karmine Corp jumped 16.5 percentage points in under 3 minutes as this trade came in.
$1,156 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Borderline but worth surfacing because this is a highly active cross-market bettor with a large profitable history placing a fresh Natus Vincere position.
- This bettor is up about $99K lifetime across 132 resolved markets.
- They have traded 89 markets across 73 events, suggesting a repeat cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they see Natus Vincere +1.5 as underpriced versus the current 44% market odds.
$2,537 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable, highly experienced cross-market bettor is taking a meaningful $2.9k position on Karmine Corp in a relatively small esports market.
- This bettor has 943 resolved trades, wins 56% of them, and is up about $147k lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with activity across 195 events and 235 markets.
- The $2.9k buy is meaningful for this market, equal to about 23% of the past day’s volume.
$2,900 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x9a4c...1f30 — Natus Vincere, $13,917 (59% win rate)
- 0xa2e4...bf9d — Karmine Corp, $10,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Natus Vincere, $6,441 (87% win rate)
- 0xdd58...18f9 — Natus Vincere, $6,000 (44% win rate)
- 0x7a0f...1305 — Karmine Corp, $4,021 (91% win rate)
- 0xe504...600e — Karmine Corp, $2,027 (59% win rate)
- 0x1316...48a4 — Karmine Corp, $2,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x5f30...3aee — Natus Vincere, $1,555 (62% win rate)
- 0xb7b3...9573 — Karmine Corp, $1,500 (52% win rate)
- 0xdbbb...3df5 — Karmine Corp, $1,381
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