Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Karmine Corp and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 3 or more games than MVK Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MVK Esports". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,433.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports, LoL Worlds 2026, Play-in

Notable Trades

Five-wallet push backed by a proven sharp

A substantial one-sided position coincides with a 51x volume spike and includes a bettor with a 95% win rate across 782 resolved positions.

  • Five wallets put $17,802 toward Karmine Corp, including one bettor with a 95% win rate across 782 resolved positions.
  • That bettor is up $6.49M and has historically entered at an average price of 53%.
  • Trading volume surged to 51 times its historical average as Karmine Corp traded around 45–46¢.

$17,802 on Karmine Corp

95% winner adding to MVK

A proven 95%-winning bettor is adding to MVK at 56¢ amid a volume spike and three-wallet buying flow.

  • This bettor has won 54 of 57 resolved positions and is up $16,511.
  • They are adding to an existing MVK position at 56¢, with two other wallets also buying MVK.
  • Trading volume spiked to 51 times its historical average as the market approaches the match.

$3,000 on MVK Esports | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% winner adding to MVK

A proven bettor with a 94% win rate is adding to MVK at 56¢ amid coordinated buying from three wallets and a 51× volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved positions and is up $15,763.
  • They added $1,100 to an existing MVK position at 56¢, showing continued conviction.
  • Three wallets bought MVK for $8,414 as market volume surged to 51× its historical average.

$1,100 on MVK Esports | Wallet win rate: 78%

97% winner adding to KC position

A highly profitable bettor with 393 resolved positions is adding to an existing Karmine Corp position at 46¢.

  • This bettor has won 382 of 393 resolved positions and is up $182,143.
  • They are adding $1,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position at 46¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 31 events, with a 97% win rate overall.

$1,000 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 97%

Proven 82% winner backs Karmine Corp

A highly profitable, experienced bettor with an 82% win rate is taking a $2,530 position on Karmine Corp at 45¢.

  • This bettor has won 982 of 1,197 resolved bets and is up $4.15M lifetime.
  • They put $2,530 on Karmine Corp at 45¢, below the market’s 46% displayed odds.
  • A serial cross-market trader, this wallet has placed over $10M across 941 events.

$2,530 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a86...4998 — MVK Esports, $40,000 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x53fd...177e — MVK Esports, $28,712 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xe015...6ffd — MVK Esports, $13,988 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x282f...7c4e — MVK Esports, $10,639 (84% win rate)
  5. 0x3308...f04b — MVK Esports, $6,967 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x64c4...1018 — MVK Esports, $6,000 (96% win rate)
  7. 0x54e6...036d — MVK Esports, $5,357 (95% win rate)
  8. 0xd3bc...5bd2 — MVK Esports, $3,943 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x90e7...ac8e — MVK Esports, $3,214 (46% win rate)
  10. 0x559b...4959 — MVK Esports, $3,000 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

G2 wins in five

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Dplus KIA Sweeps KT Rolster 3-0

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Dplus KIA beats KT

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magic sweeps 9z in series

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Dplus KIA wins in three

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Karmine wins in three

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Karmine rebounds to win series

Covers 3 related markets

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In$25,433 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSportsLoL Worlds 2026Play-in
Karmine Corp
100¢
MVK Esports
0¢

This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Karmine Corp and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 3 or more games than MVK Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MVK Esports". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

2026-10-18 18:21 UTC

$17,802 on Karmine Corp at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

2026-10-18 18:21 UTC

$3,000 on MVK Esports at 56¢

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

2026-10-18 18:28 UTC

$1,100 on MVK Esports at 56¢

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

2026-10-18 15:49 UTC

$1,000 on Karmine Corp at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

2026-10-18 14:26 UTC

$2,530 on Karmine Corp at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

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G2 wins in five
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