Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,287.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% win-rate bettor scaling Natus

A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate is adding to a substantial Natus Vincere position amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 92% of 1,979 resolved positions and is up $409,115 lifetime.
They added $1,080 to an existing $6,000 Natus Vincere position at 54¢, signaling increased conviction.
The market saw a 4,185x historical volume spike, adding support to the directional move.

$1,080 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 92%

New wallet scaling into Natus Vincere

A two-day-old wallet is scaling into a $20,000 Natus Vincere position while the market experiences an extreme pre-event volume spike.

A wallet less than three days old has invested roughly $20,000 on Natus Vincere, including a fresh $9,339 purchase.
The trade coincided with a 4,185x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated pre-event activity.
The entry at 54¢ implies the bettor valued Natus Vincere above the market's current 56% probability, though the wallet has no resolved track record.

$9,339 on Natus Vincere

Sharp cluster scaling into Natus Vincere

Three wallets added $28.8K to Natus Vincere, including two highly profitable bettors with 88%-92% win rates, amid a massive pre-event volume spike.

Three wallets bought $28,779 of Natus Vincere, with each already holding a position and adding at 54¢.
Two participants have exceptional records: 92% across 1,979 resolved bets and 88% across 244 bets.
Trading volume was 616 times its historical average, making this coordinated buying unusually significant.

$28,779 on Natus Vincere

Sharp bettor scales into Natus Vincere

A highly proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge added $16,200 to an existing Natus Vincere position at 54¢.

This bettor has won 88% of 244 resolved positions and is up $1.1 million.
The $16,200 add-on represents more than twice the reported 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Natus Vincere.
The wallet already had $30,000 invested at the same 54¢ entry, indicating deliberate position sizing rather than a one-off trade.

$16,200 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 88%

86-0 sharp backs Movistar KOI

A highly profitable bettor with an extraordinary 86-0 record made a concentrated $4,888 purchase in a thinly traded handicap market.

This bettor has won all 86 resolved positions and earned $590,254 in profit.
The $4,888 wager was over five times the market's recent 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Movistar KOI.
The entry at 47¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite the market pricing KOI at roughly 46%.

$4,888 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0x8da9...38c8 — Outcome 73576496, $43,911
0xe548...a9fe — Outcome 73576496, $30,000 (88% win rate)
0xf7c2...9b8d — Outcome 73576496, $17,834 (94% win rate)
0xe015...6ffd — Outcome 73576496, $15,259 (93% win rate)
0xa103...1c14 — Outcome 73576496, $12,545 (73% win rate)
0x5f30...3aee — Outcome 73576496, $10,276 (76% win rate)
0x57b2...9da2 — Outcome 73576496, $6,000 (92% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 73576496, $4,460 (64% win rate)
0x64c4...1018 — Outcome 73576496, $2,500 (97% win rate)
0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 73576496, $1,450 (94% win rate)

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Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$60,287 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Natus Vincere and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI wins 2 or more games than Natus Vincere in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Natus Vincere". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Natus Vincere”

78¢

54¢

31¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction