Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

This Polymarket tracks the League of Legends LEC Regular Season handicap market for Natus Vincere vs Fnatic, with Navi listed at -1.5 maps and Fnatic at +1.5. The market resolves to Navi only if Natus Vincere wins by 2 or more games; otherwise it resolves to Fnatic. Resolution is scheduled for April 25, 2026, after the match is completed or officially settled under market rules.

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than Fnatic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Fnatic". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,961.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

86% winner leads cluster

Three wallets piled $15.8k into Fnatic during a huge pre-match volume spike, led by a serial cross-market bettor with an 86% win rate and $4.2M in profit.

  • A bettor who wins 86% of 1,796 resolved trades and is up $4.2M is part of this Fnatic buying cluster
  • Three wallets all bought Fnatic within minutes, putting $15.8k on the same side at 58¢
  • Market volume is running 318x above normal and Fnatic has already moved from 58¢ to 60¢ after their buys

$15,796 on Fnatic

86% win-rate cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% win rate and $4.2M in profit just bought Fnatic +1.5 in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $4.2M lifetime.
  • They have traded 232 markets across 159 events, which points to a repeatable betting edge.
  • They bought Fnatic at 59¢ in a market with under $10k of total volume, showing real conviction.

$1,165 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x40ea...832f Natus Vincere, $51,665 (0% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 Fnatic, $31,268 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x9770...0ff5 Fnatic, $16,391 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x53f2...5343 Natus Vincere, $6,149 (43% win rate)
  5. 0x8e8c...65dd Fnatic, $4,529 (45% win rate)
  6. 0xa048...dd23 Fnatic, $3,905 (42% win rate)
  7. 0xda3a...381f Fnatic, $3,063 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x05df...e268 Natus Vincere, $2,000
  9. 0x6e32...ab65 Fnatic, $1,687 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x842a...7422 Fnatic, $1,651 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

6h$16,961 tracked2 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Natus Vincere
40¢
Fnatic
61¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than Fnatic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Fnatic". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Fnatic
62¢
55¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

1h ago

$15,796 on Fnatic at 58¢

58¢61¢3¢

Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

4h ago

$1,165 on Fnatic at 59¢

59¢61¢2¢

Related Theses