Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)
This prediction market covers the LoL Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Galions in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs. It resolves to Natus Vincere if Navi wins by at least 2 games on the match handicap; otherwise it resolves to Galions +1.5. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 15, 2026, with PolySpotter tracking $3,644 in smart money and 1 recent sharp-bettor signal.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Galions in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than Galions in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Galions". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,644.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp serial bettor buying handicap
Sharp esports/cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and +$363,922 P&L bought a large Natus Vincere handicap position worth 71% of the market’s 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $363,922 lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 90 events with the same 81% win rate.
- The $3,644 buy was 71% of this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a relatively quiet market.
$3,644 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Natus Vincere, $10,828 (81% win rate)
- 0x6918...782b — Galions, $10,199 (64% win rate)
- 0xa19d...3909 — Galions, $2,080 (55% win rate)
- 0x4f4e...b690 — Natus Vincere, $1,500 (52% win rate)
- 0xb8cb...8f46 — Galions, $1,500 (56% win rate)
- 0x8a2c...5172 — Natus Vincere, $610
- 0x1f03...b1be — Galions, $603 (54% win rate)
- 0x4a5e...8fd0 — Natus Vincere, $244 (60% win rate)
- 0x3a61...bbb2 — Natus Vincere, $220
- 0x109b...935f — Natus Vincere, $183 (88% win rate)
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