Part of: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,285.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite bettors clustered on LGD

Three wallets, including bettors with 97% and 87% win rates, independently bought LGD Gaming at 54-58¢ before the outcome moved to 100%.

  • A 97% winner and an 87% winner joined the LGD Gaming position, with the latter up $2.07M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought LGD at 54-58¢ for $5,644 total, showing concentrated conviction before the market reached 100%.
  • The strongest bettor has 1,633 resolved positions and has beaten the implied odds by roughly 32 percentage points.

$5,644 on LGD Gaming

Elite bettor backs LGD

A highly proven bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.03M profit made a large, concentrated LGD position in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 1,617 resolved positions and is up $2.03M lifetime.
  • The $3,637 LGD buy represents 50.6% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
  • LGD was bought at 57¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value despite the market pricing it below 60%.

$1,549 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

96% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge is buying Ninjas in Pyjamas at 42%.

  • This bettor has won 158 of 164 resolved positions and is up $686,499.
  • The entry at 42¢ is well below the bettor’s average winning price of 50%, indicating a strong conviction purchase.
  • The wallet has traded across 160 events and 165 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$1,838 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 96%

91% winner scaling into LGD

A highly profitable serial esports bettor with a 91% win rate is adding nearly $4,000 to an existing LGD Gaming handicap position in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor has won 119 of 131 resolved trades and earned $390,370 in P&L.
  • They are adding $3,942 to an existing LGD Gaming position, bringing total investment to nearly $8,000.
  • The trade represents 54.8% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a thin market.

$3,942 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%

Perfect-record bettor adds to NIP

A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 60-0 record is adding $5,676 to an existing NIP handicap position at 43 cents.

  • This bettor has won all 60 resolved positions and is up $406,905.
  • They are adding $5,676 to an existing $13,200 NIP position, signaling increased conviction.
  • The trade represents nearly 79% of the market’s 24-hour volume, with a serial cross-market history spanning 95 events.

$5,676 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 100%

Elite bettor backs LGD

A highly proven bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.03M profit made a large, concentrated LGD position in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 1,617 resolved positions and is up $2.03M lifetime.
  • The $3,637 LGD buy represents 50.6% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
  • LGD was bought at 57¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value despite the market pricing it below 60%.

$3,637 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6e9f...0eae Outcome 95387778, $13,200 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x1a21...04bd Outcome 95387778, $6,606 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xda3a...381f Outcome 95387778, $6,000 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x3308...f04b Outcome 95387778, $5,633 (57% win rate)
  5. 0x21b7...c861 Outcome 95387778, $5,000 (40% win rate)
  6. 0x29cc...3c29 Outcome 95387778, $4,403 (96% win rate)
  7. 0x6d1e...2c7e Outcome 95387778, $4,208 (77% win rate)
  8. 0xfb07...e2cc Outcome 95387778, $3,388
  9. 0xa3b5...941a Outcome 95387778, $2,000 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x7673...fa40 Outcome 95387778, $1,731 (94% win rate)

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Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$22,285 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas wins 2 or more games than LGD Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LGD Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “LGD Gaming
102¢
78¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

4d ago

$5,644 on LGD Gaming at 56¢

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

5d ago

$1,549 on LGD Gaming at 57¢

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

5d ago

$1,838 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 42¢

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

6d ago

$3,942 on LGD Gaming at 58¢

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

6d ago

$5,676 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 43¢

Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

6d ago

$3,637 on LGD Gaming at 57¢

Related Theses