Part of: LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,434.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp 11-wallet T1 cluster

Strong 11-wallet T1 cluster with multiple profitable sharp bettors bought around 39–41¢ before the market moved to 100¢, though the copy window is likely gone.

11 wallets put $34.2K on T1 around 39–41¢ before it moved to 100¢.
Several bettors have strong records, including wallets winning 81–87% of resolved bets with six-figure profits.
This was broad one-sided flow plus a 42-point price move, making it a strong signal to track for future esports bets.

$34,201 on T1

87% serial cross-market sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Karmine Corp despite the market later moving sharply against the position.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $145K lifetime.
They have traded across 78 events and 93 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
They bought Karmine Corp at 62¢; the market is now much cheaper at 44¢ but has moved against them.

$1,369 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 73%

New wallet caught sharp move

A 1-day-old wallet sold Karmine Corp at 64¢, effectively buying T1 at 36¢, just before the market repriced sharply toward T1.

A brand-new wallet effectively bought T1 at 36¢ before the market jumped to 74¢.
The trade coincided with a fast 14.5-point move against Karmine Corp in about 3 minutes.
Entry at 36¢ implied a nearly 3x upside if T1 covered the handicap.

$1,007 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 83%

81% sharp serial trader

A proven 81% win-rate trader with six-figure profit and heavy cross-market history bought $9.5k of T1 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $117k lifetime.
They are a serious cross-market trader, active across 168 events with $546k deployed.
They bought $9.5k of T1 while market volume spiked 435x before the match.

$9,530 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 82%

87% serial cross-market sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Karmine Corp despite the market later moving sharply against the position.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $145K lifetime.
They have traded across 78 events and 93 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
They bought Karmine Corp at 62¢; the market is now much cheaper at 44¢ but has moved against them.

$1,094 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 73%

77% winner buying T1

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 77% resolved win rate with positive lifetime P&L and is buying T1 against the current handicap at 39¢.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $4.4K lifetime.
They have beaten average market odds by 29 percentage points across 96 resolved bets.
Entry at 39¢ implies they see T1 covering -2.5 as underpriced.

$2,222 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought $8.2k of Karmine Corp +2.5, backed by a 778-bet history and over $518k lifetime profit.

This bettor has won 61% of 778 resolved bets and is up about $519k lifetime.
They are a very active cross-market trader, with $3.7M wagered across 620 markets.
The trade is a fresh $8.2k buy on Karmine Corp +2.5 at 63¢.

$8,190 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 63%

83% winner backs underdog handicap

Sharp esports bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought T1 -2.5 at 39¢.

This bettor has won 10 of 12 resolved trades and is up $22.4K lifetime.
They bought T1 -2.5 at 39¢, taking the lower-priced side despite Karmine Corp being favored in the market.
Their average winning entry is 53¢, so a 39¢ entry suggests they may see meaningful mispricing.

$1,322 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp serial esports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win rate and $91.9k lifetime profit bought Karmine Corp +2.5 at 63¢.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $91.9k lifetime.
They have traded across 104 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge.
Entry at 63¢ backs Karmine Corp to stay within the +2.5 handicap.

$1,500 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0xb0a2...353a — Outcome 92321392, $28,000 (85% win rate)
0xe015...6ffd — Outcome 92321392, $23,931 (92% win rate)
0x9770...0ff5 — Outcome 92321392, $13,000 (63% win rate)
0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 92321392, $12,954 (63% win rate)
0xda3a...381f — Outcome 92321392, $12,500 (57% win rate)
0x183f...85e3 — Outcome 92321392, $10,000 (62% win rate)
0x57b4...b46b — Outcome 92321392, $10,000 (93% win rate)
0xf184...c2d7 — Outcome 92321392, $6,666 (88% win rate)
0x6b97...8d30 — Outcome 92321392, $4,500 (85% win rate)
0x1341...0853 — Outcome 92321392, $3,217 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

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Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)

ResolvedLoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In$60,434 tracked9 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 3 or more games than Karmine Corp in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Karmine Corp". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.