Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,544.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

89% winner scaling into LGD

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor is adding to an LGD position despite the market moving against it.

This bettor has won 89% of 206 resolved trades and is up $108,144.
The $1,500 purchase adds to an existing $3,033 LGD position, signaling continued conviction after the price fell.
The bettor has traded 133 markets across 100 events, making this more than an isolated wager.

$1,500 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial bettor backs Top Esports

A highly experienced bettor with 1,558 resolved trades, an 82% win rate, and $4.5M profit is taking a fresh position on Top Esports at 55%.

This bettor has won 82% of 1,558 resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime.
The fresh $2,005 position buys Top Esports at 55%, while the market has already risen 6.5% over the past week.
The wallet has traded 1,473 markets across 933 events, providing unusually strong and repeatable betting experience.

$2,005 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 82%

95% win-rate bettor adds to position

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and 44-point edge is adding $4,444 to an existing Top Esports position.

This bettor has won 780 of 822 resolved positions and is up $798,410 lifetime.
They are adding $4,444 to Top Esports at 54¢ after already investing $8,230 at the same price.
The trade represents 54.7% of the market’s 24-hour volume, despite a relatively tight 1¢ spread.

$4,444 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettor backs LGD

A highly profitable esports bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge made a large fresh bet on LGD in a thin market.

This bettor wins 82% of 208 resolved positions and is up $943,316 lifetime.
The $3,595 LGD bet represents over 5,000% of the reported 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
The entry at 46¢ implies the bettor valued LGD notably above the market’s initial price.

$3,595 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0xf7c2...9b8d — Outcome 72096541, $8,230 (95% win rate)
0xaf1a...ba1e — Outcome 72096541, $7,700 (97% win rate)
0xdb15...8393 — Outcome 72096541, $1,500 (73% win rate)
0x282f...7c4e — Outcome 72096541, $1,372 (85% win rate)
0x4f4e...b690 — Outcome 72096541, $1,330 (67% win rate)
0x0160...1224 — Outcome 72096541, $1,241
0x257a...b42a — Outcome 72096541, $614 (81% win rate)
0xe197...71eb — Outcome 72096541, $600 (63% win rate)
0x5055...b09b — Outcome 72096541, $592 (80% win rate)
0x31c7...eca3 — Outcome 72096541, $576 (39% win rate)

Related Theses

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$11,544 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports wins 2 or more games than LGD Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LGD Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Top Esports”

63¢

54¢

46¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction