Part of: LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,726.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors in coordinated $26K bet

A $25.9K coordinated Team Liquid bet included two highly profitable bettors and followed a 115x volume spike, although the position has since fallen to zero.

  • Three wallets committed $25,937 to Team Liquid during a 115x surge in market activity.
  • One bettor wins 87% of 1,535 resolved bets and is up $1.84M, while another has 85% wins across 2,111 bets.
  • The trade entered around 67–68¢ but Team Liquid is now priced at 0%, making this a notable failed thesis rather than a current opportunity.

$25,937 on Team Liquid

86% winner scales into Team Liquid

A highly experienced bettor with an 86% win rate added $20.7K to an existing Team Liquid handicap position during an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 2,103 resolved markets and is up $290,471 lifetime.
  • They added $20,737 to an existing Team Liquid position, bringing total exposure on the outcome above $54,000.
  • The trade arrived during a 16,345x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated pre-event conviction.

$20,737 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 84%

Serial bettor scales into Team Liquid

A serial cross-market bettor with 86% historical wins added $22.7K to an existing Team Liquid position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 2,103 resolved trades across 371 events.
  • They added $22,714 to Team Liquid at 68¢, increasing an existing position while the market moved to 70¢.
  • The trade represented over 1,100% of the recent 24-hour volume and coincided with a sharp pre-event volume spike.

$22,714 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 84%

Serial trader leads Team Liquid surge

A highly active profitable trader placed a fresh $1,718 Team Liquid bet that accounted for nearly all recent market volume amid a major volume spike.

  • This trader is up $747,444 across 2,337 resolved bets and has a 60% win rate.
  • The $1,718 buy accounted for 98.5% of reported 24-hour volume, while market activity spiked over 16,000× its baseline.
  • Team Liquid was bought at 68¢ and has since risen to 70%, supporting the direction of the trade.

$1,718 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 62%

Sharp bettor backs Team Liquid

A highly profitable bettor with a 86% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh, concentrated bet in a thinly traded esports handicap market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 1,492 resolved trades and is up $1.73 million.
  • The $1,114 position represents 64% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Team Liquid.
  • The buy at 65¢ is supported by a 3-point recent price rise and the bettor's extensive cross-market record.

$1,505 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp bettor backs Team Liquid

A highly profitable bettor with a 86% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh, concentrated bet in a thinly traded esports handicap market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 1,492 resolved trades and is up $1.73 million.
  • The $1,114 position represents 64% of the market's 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Team Liquid.
  • The buy at 65¢ is supported by a 3-point recent price rise and the bettor's extensive cross-market record.

$1,114 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6b97...8d30 Outcome 26398335, $8,357 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x8935...7daa Outcome 26398335, $797
  3. 0x93f4...ea90 Outcome 26398335, $700 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x8a3b...5fa5 Outcome 26398335, $650 (76% win rate)
  5. 0x2185...b40c Outcome 26398335, $550 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x50f9...c327 Outcome 26398335, $405 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x768f...8a9b Outcome 26398335, $392 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x7091...96f8 Outcome 26398335, $300 (48% win rate)
  9. 0xcfad...fa05 Outcome 26398335, $294
  10. 0xb390...387c Outcome 26398335, $289

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

LYON sweeps FURIA

Covers 4 related markets

Fnatic Sweeps Team Heretics

Covers 3 related markets

Team Yandex Sweeps Nigma Galaxy

Covers 3 related markets

Vivo Keyd Stars sweep Leviatan

Covers 5 related markets

T1 sweeps Dplus KIA series

Covers 3 related markets

NightBirds sweep eSuba

Covers 4 related markets

Team Liquid sweeps Shopify

Covers 3 related markets

CITA Kaizen sweeps eSuba

Covers 3 related markets

LOS will sweep Fluxo W7M 2-0

Covers 5 related markets

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$73,726 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid wins 2 or more games than Shopify Rebellion in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Liquid
78¢
64¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

12d ago

$25,937 on Team Liquid at 68¢

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

13d ago

$20,737 on Team Liquid at 68¢

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

13d ago

$22,714 on Team Liquid at 68¢

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

13d ago

$1,718 on Team Liquid at 68¢

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

13d ago

$1,505 on Team Liquid at 65¢

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

14d ago

$1,114 on Team Liquid at 65¢

Related Theses

Wallet_0x58f8f trades 4 related markets
Games Total: O/U 2.5LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC -…LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC -…
LYON sweeps FURIA
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 4 related markets
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - G…Games Total: O/U 4.5LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - G…
Fnatic Sweeps Team Heretics
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (…LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic -…LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic -…
Team Yandex Sweeps Nigma Galaxy
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma G…Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma G…Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma G…
Vivo Keyd Stars sweep Leviatan
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 5 related markets
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo …LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo …LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo …
T1 sweeps Dplus KIA series
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 …LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 …LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 …
NightBirds sweep eSuba
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 4 related markets
LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Gam…LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO3)…LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba - Gam…
Team Liquid sweeps Shopify
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 3 related markets
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Sh…LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Re…LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Re…
CITA Kaizen sweeps eSuba
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 3 related markets
LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen (BO3…LoL: eSuba vs CITA Kaizen - Ga…Games Total: O/U 2.5
LOS will sweep Fluxo W7M 2-0
Wallet_0x58f8f trades 5 related markets
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - …LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1…LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 2…