Part of: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

This Polymarket market covers the Dota 2 International Playoffs lower-bracket final between Team Spirit and Team Yandex, scheduled for August 22, 2026. Team Spirit wins the market only by defeating Yandex by at least two games—effectively a 2-0 result in a best-of-three; otherwise, Team Yandex wins. PolySpotter tracks $29,939 in smart money and one signal on this market.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,939.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% winner leads four-wallet Spirit bet

A four-wallet, $29.9K one-sided surge includes a highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate, making the Team Spirit handicap position worth monitoring despite the price falling from 36-38% to 26%.

  • A bettor with a 98% win rate across 683 resolved trades is buying Team Spirit.
  • Four wallets committed nearly $30,000 in the same direction during a 135.9x volume spike.
  • Several wallets are adding to existing Team Spirit positions, showing increased conviction despite the price declining to 26%.

$29,939 on Team Spirit

98% win-rate bettor backs Team Spirit

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate made a concentrated $6,000 Team Spirit handicap bet, despite the market later falling from 62% to 38%.

  • This bettor has won 671 of 683 resolved positions and is up $11.5M lifetime.
  • They concentrated $6,000 on Team Spirit, including a $5,000 purchase at 62¢.
  • The market has since fallen to 38%, creating a notably cheaper entry but also showing the trade has moved against them.

$6,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0344...f4db Outcome 16106141, $271,436
  2. 0x07b1...6dfc Outcome 16106141, $11,441 (52% win rate)
  3. 0xc581...0f24 Outcome 11339849, $5,494 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x3f2d...5b40 Outcome 16106141, $4,726 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x40db...ca8c Outcome 16106141, $2,487 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xe2cd...3897 Outcome 16106141, $2,270 (72% win rate)
  7. 0xd0e9...67ff Outcome 16106141, $2,256 (97% win rate)
  8. 0x7786...c005 Outcome 16106141, $2,200
  9. 0x363c...9b0e Outcome 16106141, $2,000 (41% win rate)
  10. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 16106141, $1,446 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

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Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

ResolvedDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs$35,939 tracked2 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit wins 2 or more games than Team Yandex in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Yandex". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

23h ago

$29,939 on Team Spirit at 36¢

Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)

1d ago

$6,000 on Team Spirit at 58¢

Related Theses