Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,750.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp-led 3-wallet pile-in

Three wallets piled nearly $9.8k into Weibo Gaming on a strong one-sided flow signal, led by one bettor with an 82% win rate and strong realized profits, during a major pre-match volume spike.

One bettor in this group wins 82% of their bets and is up $214k, making this cluster worth tracking despite weaker followers.
Three wallets all bought Weibo Gaming handicap within 11 minutes for nearly $9.8k total, a clear one-way bet.
Market volume is running 114x normal and they bought at 45-46¢, with Weibo Gaming still priced below 50¢.

$9,800 on Weibo Gaming

Profitable serial event bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought into a large pre-match volume spike, suggesting a thesis worth following despite only moderate standalone edge.

This bettor has won 65% of 114 resolved markets and is up about $67k.
They've traded 43 markets across 31 events, which points to a repeatable event-driven strategy rather than a one-off punt.
The $7.0k buy came during a 114x volume spike, showing strong attention flowing into this match before start.

$6,952 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 50%

82% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and over $102k profit is buying Weibo Gaming at 47¢, making this a worthwhile copy-trade despite the modest bet size.

This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $102k across 198 resolved markets
They bought Weibo Gaming at 47¢, a price that suggests they see the handicap as mispriced near a coin flip
The market is reasonably liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate value bet rather than random noise

$999 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

0xec54...e8c1 — Outcome 84571712, $6,734 (71% win rate)
0x7fd5...de39 — Outcome 84571712, $2,910
0x8d9f...787a — Outcome 84571712, $2,126 (85% win rate)
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 84571712, $893
0x8725...eb10 — Outcome 84571712, $695 (81% win rate)
0xb503...7552 — Outcome 84571712, $461
0xeddf...a953 — Outcome 84571712, $437
0xfbb1...b580 — Outcome 84571712, $226
0x2160...bcb3 — Outcome 84571712, $220
0xd3c9...52af — Outcome 84571712, $219

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$17,750 tracked3 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 9 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming wins 2 or more games than Ninjas in Pyjamas in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.