Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
This Polymarket handicap market covers the League of Legends match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled to resolve on May 10, 2026. It resolves to Weibo Gaming if WB wins by 2 or more games; otherwise it resolves to Ninjas in Pyjamas on the +1.5 handicap. PolySpotter is tracking $7,714 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming wins 2 or more games than Ninjas in Pyjamas in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,686.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market specialist
Proven profitable esports/cross-market bettor is concentrating $7.7k on Ninjas in Pyjamas across a thin market, with a broader 4-market event thesis and strong lifetime profits.
- This bettor has won 67% of 178 resolved bets and is up $122,653 lifetime.
- They are building a $23,135 thesis across 4 markets in the same event.
- This $7,714 buy was huge for a quiet market and helped move Ninjas in Pyjamas from 51¢ to around 70¢.
$7,714 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 67%
84% winner on quiet market
Proven 84% winner placed a nearly $5k buy on a very quiet esports handicap market, dwarfing the market's 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $34.4k lifetime.
- They bought nearly $5k in a market with only $62 of 24h volume, a very high-conviction move.
- Entry at 70¢ implies they see Ninjas in Pyjamas +1.5 as underpriced despite the market already favoring it.
$4,972 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x40ea...832f — Weibo Gaming, $10,000 (33% win rate)
- 0xeed6...ec56 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $7,103 (84% win rate)
- 0x6918...782b — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $6,240 (67% win rate)
- 0x54a6...7401 — Weibo Gaming, $3,333 (79% win rate)
- 0x35e7...8331 — Weibo Gaming, $40
- 0x863f...7b79 — Weibo Gaming, $40
- 0x6de0...ea80 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $40
- 0x1c27...21a9 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $26
- 0x60a5...f52e — Weibo Gaming, $26
- 0xc56b...772a — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $14
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