Part of: US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens
Game Spread: Osaka (-4.5) vs Mertens (+4.5)
This prediction market asks whether Naomi Osaka will defeat Elise Mertens by at least 4.5 total games in their scheduled match on September 4, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET. Games are counted across all sets, including tiebreak rules, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 11, 2026; current market pricing was not included in the supplied data.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,300.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scales into Mertens
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $6,000 to an already sizable Mertens position in an extremely thin market.
- This bettor wins 84% of 640 resolved trades and is up $267,390 lifetime.
- The $6,000 buy is an addition to an existing $11,467 Mertens position, showing increased conviction.
- The trade was over 115 times the market’s 24-hour volume, making the position unusually meaningful in this thin market.
$1,300 on Mertens | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp bettor scales into Mertens
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $6,000 to an already sizable Mertens position in an extremely thin market.
- This bettor wins 84% of 640 resolved trades and is up $267,390 lifetime.
- The $6,000 buy is an addition to an existing $11,467 Mertens position, showing increased conviction.
- The trade was over 115 times the market’s 24-hour volume, making the position unusually meaningful in this thin market.
$6,000 on Mertens | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 66541025, $8,996 (74% win rate)
- 0xd619...c461 — Outcome 66541025, $4,733
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 66541025, $748 (81% win rate)
- 0xf6f7...c7a2 — Outcome 66541025, $146
- 0x0ac5...f963 — Outcome 66541025, $78
- 0x16cf...a2fb — Outcome 66541025, $60
- 0xc4d3...5639 — Outcome 66541025, $7
- 0x2bb4...4551 — Outcome 66541025, $5
- 0x3637...21a4 — Outcome 66541025, $5
- 0x8b81...988c — Outcome 66541025, $2
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