Part of: US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
Game Spread: Sabalenka (-3.5) vs Noskova (+3.5)
This tennis prediction market asks whether Aryna Sabalenka will beat Linda Noskova by at least 3.5 total games on September 8, 2026. Games are counted across all sets, including tiebreak rules, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 15, 2026; PolySpotter tracks $2,800 in smart money and one signal currently favoring Sabalenka.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,672.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
95% winner scaling into Sabalenka
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding $2,800 to an existing Sabalenka spread position in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor has won 95% of 442 resolved positions and is up nearly $399,000.
- They are adding $2,800 to an existing Sabalenka position at 55¢, signaling increased conviction.
- The bet is large relative to the detected $287 scan-window volume, while Sabalenka has recently moved up 3.5 percentage points.
$2,800 on Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 95%
Proven sharp buys Sabalenka
A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a large, fresh bet in an unusually quiet tennis spread market.
- This bettor has won 81% of 2,667 resolved trades and is up $6.27M lifetime.
- The $1,872 bet is more than six times the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
- Sabalenka was bought at 48¢, implying the trader sees meaningful value near a 50-50 market price.
$1,872 on Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 81052438, $5,115 (95% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — Outcome 81052438, $2,854 (41% win rate)
- 0x77d5...732e — Outcome 81052438, $1,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x374e...87c9 — Outcome 81052438, $334
- 0x631a...a80f — Outcome 81052438, $300
- 0xcb0b...62cd — Outcome 81052438, $286
- 0xbe5a...13f5 — Outcome 81052438, $208 (46% win rate)
- 0x1443...9e05 — Outcome 81052438, $200
- 0xf6f7...c7a2 — Outcome 81052438, $146
- 0x0ac5...f963 — Outcome 81052438, $113
