Part of: Phan Thiet 3: Enzo Aguiard vs Ilia Simakin

Game Spread: Simakin (-4.5) vs Aguiard (+4.5)

This tennis prediction market asks whether Ilia Simakin will beat Enzo Aguiard by at least 4.5 total games. Games are counted across all sets, including tiebreak outcomes, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 17, 2026; PolySpotter tracks $2,000 in smart-money activity and one recent signal.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

95% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge placed a large position on Aguiard in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 95% of trades across 458 resolved positions and is up $431,204.
  • The $2,000 Aguiard bet represents 58.6% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The trader has positioned across 308 events with nearly $496,000 in volume, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.

$2,000 on Aguiard | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf12f...b30f Outcome 10048203, $3,413 (95% win rate)

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Game Spread: Simakin (-4.5) vs Aguiard (+4.5)

5dPhan Thiet 3: Enzo Aguiard vs Ilia Simakin$2,000 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market will resolve to "Simakin" if Ilia Simakin wins 4.5 or more total games than Enzo Aguiard in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aguiard". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Ilia Simakin could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Aguiard". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Simakin
102¢
73¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Game Spread: Simakin (-4.5) vs Aguiard (+4.5)

1d ago

$2,000 on Aguiard at 59¢

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