Part of: Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Geneva Open match between Adrian Mannarino and Raphael Collignon, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with current smart money tracking showing $1,800 across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable serial sports bettor. The market is set to resolve by May 25, 2026, unless the match outcome is determined earlier under the rules.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Raphael Collignon in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,800.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume sports bettor with a long positive track record bought Raphael Collignon at 90¢ in a tennis market where he is currently priced around 92¢.
- This bettor is up $181,599 across 618 resolved bets with $3.6M invested.
- They have traded across 323 sports events, suggesting a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 90¢ is slightly below the current 92¢ market price, leaving limited but clear upside.
$1,800 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xe92d...0939 — Adrian Mannarino, $8,278
- 0x710c...78ea — Raphael Collignon, $7,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x928c...0f9e — Adrian Mannarino, $6,016
- 0xdc0c...218a — Adrian Mannarino, $5,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x4042...0bda — Adrian Mannarino, $4,503 (41% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Raphael Collignon, $3,720 (63% win rate)
- 0x3090...be73 — Raphael Collignon, $2,860 (60% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Raphael Collignon, $2,842 (55% win rate)
- 0x9cb4...8285 — Raphael Collignon, $2,582 (58% win rate)
- 0xdad6...63a0 — Adrian Mannarino, $1,858 (63% win rate)
