Part of: Geneva Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mariano Navone
Geneva Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mariano Navone
This prediction market covers the Geneva Open tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Mariano Navone, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 27, 2026 if the match is delayed. PolySpotter is tracking $6,000 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from profitable sports-focused wallets.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,463.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable 78% winner
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 78% record over 90 resolved bets bought $4k of Navone despite only a modest win-rate signal.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $11.3k lifetime.
- They beat their average entry odds by 18 percentage points across 90 resolved bets.
- They put $4k on Navone at 89¢ in a highly traded tennis market.
$4,000 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable new sports wallet
A young but already profitable sports wallet is buying Cameron Norrie at 20¢ after a sharp price drop, with repeat flagged bets and $7.2k profit so far.
- This 17-day-old wallet has won 8 of 9 resolved bets and is up $7.2k.
- It has been flagged 7 times for larger bets, with $17.9k total already wagered across flagged positions.
- The bettor bought Norrie at 20¢ after an 11-point rapid drop, suggesting a contrarian underdog entry.
$2,000 on Cameron Norrie | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and $367k lifetime profit is buying Mariano Navone in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $367k lifetime.
- They have traded across 443 events with $1.9M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Mariano Navone at 63¢, slightly above the market’s current 62% implied odds.
$2,000 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Cameron Norrie at 38¢, already moving to 42¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $64.8K lifetime.
- They have traded across 41 events with a strong 33-9 resolved record.
- Entry at 38¢ implies a sizeable underdog/value view, and the market has already moved to 42¢.
$4,500 on Cameron Norrie | Wallet win rate: 77%
97% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and over $5.2M profit is buying Mariano Navone at 54¢.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $5.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 193 events with the same 97% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 54¢ implies they see Navone as meaningfully undervalued in a fairly liquid market.
$1,928 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying Cameron Norrie at 46¢.
- This bettor wins 66% of resolved trades across 1,429 bets and is up about $432k lifetime.
- They have traded across 162 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see Cameron Norrie as undervalued versus the current market.
$2,035 on Cameron Norrie | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x83d2...d196 — Outcome 17642706, $14,109 (97% win rate)
- 0xc807...8038 — Outcome 13910182, $11,833 (77% win rate)
- 0xafac...8730 — Outcome 13910182, $9,795 (89% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 13910182, $4,561 (80% win rate)
- 0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 13910182, $4,381 (67% win rate)
- 0xc470...c792 — Outcome 13910182, $3,306
- 0x698b...4426 — Outcome 13910182, $3,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 13910182, $2,532 (100% win rate)
- 0xe85d...ad4b — Outcome 13910182, $2,444 (85% win rate)
- 0x1fd6...ce58 — Outcome 13910182, $2,100 (35% win rate)
