Part of: Geneva Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Alexandre Muller
Geneva Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Alexandre Muller
This market tracks the Geneva Open qualification match between Edas Butvilas and Alexandre Muller, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with PolySpotter tracking $17,999 in smart money and 3 recent smart money signals, including profitable-wallet activity backing Butvilas. The market is set to resolve by May 23, 2026 if a winner is determined under the rules.
This market refers to the tennis match between Edas Butvilas and Alexandre Muller in the Geneva Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Edas Butvilas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,999.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable wallets pile in
Three high-volume profitable wallets bought Edas Butvilas in the same direction, triggering a 38x volume spike and a 23-point price move.
- Three high-volume profitable bettors bought the same side, totaling $12.3K.
- The buying wave pushed Butvilas from as low as 59¢ to 88¢ with a 38x volume spike.
- All three wallets are lifetime profitable, including one up $417K across 778 resolved bets.
$12,274 on Edas Butvilas
Profitable bettor caught move
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Edas Butvilas before a sharp pre-event volume spike and rapid move from 66¢ to the mid-70s.
- This bettor is up about $417k lifetime across more than $10M in Polymarket volume.
- They bought Edas Butvilas at 66¢ before the market quickly moved to about 74¢.
- Pre-match volume spiked 152x normal, suggesting fresh money is piling into the same side.
$4,620 on Edas Butvilas | Wallet win rate: 48%
83% winner backs Butvilas
Sharp tennis bettor with an 83% record and +$32k lifetime P&L bought Edas Butvilas at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $32.4k lifetime.
- Their historical average entry is 47¢, so an 83% record suggests real edge beyond just backing favorites.
- They bought Butvilas at 60¢ in a liquid, tight market where the public price is still near 58–59¢.
$1,104 on Edas Butvilas | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xe524...d34f — Edas Butvilas, $15,165 (48% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Alexandre Muller, $12,496 (73% win rate)
- 0xfa20...fd0d — Edas Butvilas, $8,045
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Alexandre Muller, $6,552 (49% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Edas Butvilas, $3,313 (55% win rate)
- 0x31c1...7047 — Alexandre Muller, $3,128 (46% win rate)
- 0x4bbc...690d — Alexandre Muller, $3,000
- 0x9c76...c926 — Edas Butvilas, $1,502 (89% win rate)
- 0x67ff...3214 — Alexandre Muller, $1,401
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Alexandre Muller, $1,261 (68% win rate)
