Part of: Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas

Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas

This prediction market covers the Geneva Open qualifying match between James Duckworth and Miguel Damas, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 23, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,043 in smart money and 1 recent signal on this market.

This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Miguel Damas in the Geneva Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Miguel Damas. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,043.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable high-volume sports bettor

A massively active, profitable cross-market bettor bought Miguel Damas as the market rapidly moved up, though the stake is modest and price has since pulled back.

  • This bettor is up $2.4M lifetime across more than 29,000 resolved bets.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $10.5M flagged across 1,791 markets.
  • Damas moved up 14 percentage points in about 4 minutes around this buy, suggesting fast momentum.

$1,043 on Miguel Damas | Wallet win rate: 55%

Serial bettor chasing Damas move

Surface as a momentum/flow trade: a high-volume serial sports trader put $10k on Miguel Damas during a 155x volume spike and rapid 14-point price move, though the wallet is not lifetime profitable.

  • A serial sports trader put $10k on Miguel Damas after trading $1.9M across 182 events.
  • This market saw a 155x volume spike and Damas moved up 14 points in about 4 minutes.
  • The wallet wins 65% of resolved bets, but is down lifetime, so the signal is more about market momentum than proven profit.

$10,000 on Miguel Damas | Wallet win rate: 66%

Repeat wallet sparks line move

Repeat sports bettor bought $4k of Miguel Damas amid a 155x pre-event volume spike and a rapid 14-point move in his favor.

  • A repeat bettor with $1.2M traded is backing Miguel Damas at 64¢.
  • Market activity spiked 155x above normal, with Damas moving up 14 points in about 4 minutes.
  • The wallet is modestly profitable lifetime, up $14k across 117 resolved bets.

$4,000 on Miguel Damas | Wallet win rate: 49%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe4d3...c2f0 James Duckworth, $36,000 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x5268...135d Miguel Damas, $25,246 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x6832...831f Miguel Damas, $20,408
  4. 0xfe78...0319 James Duckworth, $16,106 (73% win rate)
  5. 0xba8c...e77d James Duckworth, $7,779 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x26b4...b8a9 Miguel Damas, $6,250 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x9772...4867 James Duckworth, $5,668 (60% win rate)
  8. 0xce9f...26e8 Miguel Damas, $5,150 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x710c...78ea James Duckworth, $5,019 (91% win rate)
  10. 0xfb85...8464 Miguel Damas, $4,021 (78% win rate)

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Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas

6dGeneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas$15,043 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames
James Duckworth
100¢
Miguel Damas
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Miguel Damas in the Geneva Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Miguel Damas. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “James Duckworth
102¢
80¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas

2h ago

$1,043 on Miguel Damas at 44¢

44¢0¢44¢

Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas

2h ago

$10,000 on Miguel Damas at 65¢

65¢0¢65¢

Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas

2h ago

$4,000 on Miguel Damas at 64¢

64¢0¢64¢

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