Part of: Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud
This Polymarket market covers the Geneva Open tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Casper Ruud, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with settlement expected by May 27, 2026 if a winner is determined. PolySpotter is tracking $14,154 in smart money across 3 signals, including activity from highly profitable sports bettors.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,790.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader flips sides
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor flipped from Collignon into a $3,000 Casper Ruud buy amid a major pre-event volume spike and price move.
- This bettor has won 74% of 704 resolved trades and is up $368,032 lifetime.
- They closed a Collignon position and bought $3,000 of Casper Ruud at 83¢, signaling a clear side switch.
- Market activity spiked 39x before the event, with Ruud’s price making a large move.
$3,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 74%
80% winner buying Ruud
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate bought $5,000 of Casper Ruud amid a major pre-event volume spike and price move.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $464K lifetime.
- They have traded across 714 events with $3.7M in prior volume, making the wallet itself a strong signal.
- Casper Ruud saw a 41x volume spike and a sharp price move during the betting window.
$5,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable sports whale
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Casper Ruud amid a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has since pulled back well below his entry.
- This bettor has made $5.5M in profit across more than 1,000 resolved markets.
- They are a major cross-market sports trader, with $10.5M placed across 195 events.
- Casper Ruud was bought at 76¢, and the market has since pulled back to 55¢.
$3,235 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
A proven profitable bettor with an 88% record joined a synchronized 3-wallet buy on Collignon during a major pre-match volume spike.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $103k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Raphael Collignon almost simultaneously for $5.2k total at 45¢.
- Volume is running 41x above normal, suggesting this match is drawing unusual pre-event attention.
$5,199 on Raphael Collignon
Profitable serial sports bettor
Strong sharp-bettor alert: a highly profitable serial sports trader is buying Collignon alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 74% of 704 resolved bets and is up $368K lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying Raphael Collignon, totaling $5.5K in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 134x, and this entry at 40¢ is already ahead of the current 44¢ price.
$1,250 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 74%
93% winning sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Casper Ruud at 72¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $185K lifetime.
- They have traded across 78 sports events with a 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- A $3.6K buy at 72¢ backs Casper Ruud despite an already liquid market.
$3,577 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 93%
Elite 93% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $920k lifetime profit bought Casper Ruud at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $920k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 82 events with over $1.16M in cross-market volume.
- Entry at 73¢ suggests confidence in Ruud despite an already favorite price.
$3,164 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $10.8M lifetime P&L is taking a $7.4k underdog position on Collignon at 27¢.
- This bettor has won 72% of 7,330 resolved bets and is up $10.8M lifetime.
- They placed $7.4k on the 27¢ underdog, implying they see Collignon as meaningfully underpriced.
- This wallet is a major repeat cross-market trader, with over $16M flagged across 2,099 markets.
$7,413 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 72% win rate and $10.8M lifetime profit bought Casper Ruud at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $10.8M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,800 events with nearly $69M invested, suggesting a deep repeatable edge.
- A $3.1K buy at 73¢ backs the favorite while the market is still around 72–73¢.
$3,068 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume bettor with a 70% win rate and $166,989 lifetime P&L is buying Casper Ruud in a moderately quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $166,989 lifetime.
- They have traded across 310 events with over $1.17M in similar cross-market activity.
- The $1,885 buy backs Casper Ruud at 73¢ in a market with only about $10.8k total volume.
$1,885 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10089414, $34,919 (72% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 10089414, $27,337 (65% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Outcome 10089414, $18,746 (50% win rate)
- 0x5ba6...0f07 — Outcome 10089414, $13,116 (38% win rate)
- 0x5912...6f45 — Outcome 11495666, $11,554 (99% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 10089414, $11,120 (80% win rate)
- 0x288c...3641 — Outcome 10089414, $6,982 (43% win rate)
- 0x698b...4426 — Outcome 10089414, $6,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x5d76...9168 — Outcome 10089414, $5,555 (48% win rate)
- 0x0d96...7c16 — Outcome 10089414, $4,000 (95% win rate)
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