Part of: Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinka
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinka
This prediction market covers whether Raul Brancaccio or Stan Wawrinka advances in their Geneva Open tennis match, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. PolySpotter tracks the live market odds alongside $10,459 in smart money activity and 1 detected signal. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 25, 2026, depending on the official match result and cancellation or delay rules.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,585.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable four-wallet cluster
A four-wallet cluster put $10.5k on Stan Wawrinka amid a 65x volume spike, with several experienced profitable wallets and the price now at 100%.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $10.5k in a coordinated burst.
- Three of the wallets are lifetime profitable, up about $1.1M combined.
- Average entry was around 63¢, and the market has already moved to 100¢.
$10,459 on Stan Wawrinka
84% winner backing underdog
Sharp sports bettor with an 84% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Raul Brancaccio at 39¢ despite Wawrinka being favored.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $38,343 lifetime.
- They are buying the 39¢ underdog, implying they see Brancaccio as mispriced versus the market.
- Their past wins came at much lower average odds than their hit rate, suggesting real edge rather than just betting favorites.
$1,268 on Raul Brancaccio | Wallet win rate: 84%
85% serial sports sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Stan Wawrinka despite the price moving slightly against entry.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $35.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 131 events with the same 85% hit rate.
- Bought Stan Wawrinka at 67¢; the market is now around 64¢, below their entry.
$2,450 on Stan Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 85%
90% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp profitable tennis bettor with a 90% record is buying Brancaccio despite the market favoring Wawrinka.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $52K lifetime.
- They bought Brancaccio at 36¢, taking the underdog against a market now pricing him near 34¢.
- A linked-wallet signal adds support, though the main reason to follow is the bettor’s long track record.
$1,343 on Raul Brancaccio | Wallet win rate: 90%
Perfect-record sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a perfect 40/40 resolved record and nearly $296k profit is buying Stan Wawrinka for $5k.
- This bettor has won 40 of 40 resolved trades and is up $295k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 46 events with a perfect resolved record.
- The $5k Wawrinka buy is about half of this market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction.
$5,064 on Stan Wawrinka | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 26902223, $28,990 (72% win rate)
- 0x9851...1320 — Outcome 26902223, $15,132
- 0x8f3c...2f57 — Outcome 26902223, $5,457 (55% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 26902223, $4,286 (56% win rate)
- 0x75dc...4f82 — Outcome 26902223, $3,762 (90% win rate)
- 0x363c...4463 — Outcome 26902223, $3,500 (42% win rate)
- 0x7ce9...61e5 — Outcome 26902223, $3,252 (84% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 26902223, $2,912 (60% win rate)
- 0xc470...c792 — Outcome 85214981, $2,035
- 0x67d3...0af2 — Outcome 26902223, $2,000
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