Part of: Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen

Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,516.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor flipped sides

Sharp 82% lifetime winner with strong profits flipped from Baez to Michelsen while driving a major price breakout.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $117k lifetime.
They closed a Baez position and bought Michelsen at 87¢, signaling a clear change in view.
Michelsen jumped about 30 points beyond the prior range, with rapid buying into an 86% market.

$2,200 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 79%

Serial sports momentum bettor

High-score live tennis momentum trade: a serial cross-market sports bettor bought $5.3k of Michelsen after a sharp odds breakout, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.

This bettor has traded 183 markets across 168 events with a 75% hit rate.
Michelsen’s odds jumped rapidly to 86%, including a 13-point move in 3 minutes.
The $5.3k buy came during a major breakout from the prior 55–56% range.

$5,316 on Alex Michelsen | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0x9851...1320 — Outcome 54454574, $5,095
0xe700...dc26 — Outcome 54454574, $2,919
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 54454574, $2,170 (65% win rate)
0x99d7...6435 — Outcome 54454574, $1,500 (90% win rate)
0x6190...5d90 — Outcome 54454574, $1,082 (78% win rate)
0xe7b5...b370 — Outcome 54454574, $1,061 (96% win rate)
0x5d8c...35b0 — Outcome 54454574, $1,048 (54% win rate)
0x6f3c...786d — Outcome 54454574, $902 (100% win rate)
0xd3f4...a47f — Outcome 54454574, $538 (86% win rate)
0x67be...6e09 — Outcome 54454574, $500

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Geneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen

ResolvedGeneva Open: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Michelsen$7,516 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Alex Michelsen in the Geneva Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.