Part of: Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien
This Polymarket market covers the Geneva Open tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Learner Tien, scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 27, 2026 if the match is delayed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $1,495 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including recent alerts pointing to sharp interest around Learner Tien.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,231.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Proven sharp fading favorite
A highly profitable sharp tennis bettor with 78% wins across 1,095 resolved positions is fading Learner Tien, effectively buying Tsitsipas at 21¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $481K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Tsitsipas at 21¢ while the market now prices him around 24–25¢.
- Market volume is running 22.7x above normal, suggesting this match is drawing unusual pre-event attention.
$1,098 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 78%
95% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable 95% win-rate sports bettor bought Learner Tien at 77¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $184,841 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 82 events with the same 95% hit rate.
- Bought Learner Tien at 77¢ before the market moved to 80¢, alongside a 46x volume spike.
$4,950 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 95%
99% winner backing Tien
A highly profitable 99% win-rate sports bettor bought Learner Tien, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving below their entry.
- This bettor has won 190 of 191 resolved bets and is up $148K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 193 events with a 99% win record.
- They bought Learner Tien at 89¢, while the market is now around 72¢.
$1,495 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial bettor backing Tien
Surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate bought $5,000 of Learner Tien amid a major volume spike and sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $464K lifetime.
- They have traded across 710 events with $3.7M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Learner Tien saw a 52x volume spike and a major price breakout alongside this buy.
$5,000 on Learner Tien | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp bettor caught fade
A proven profitable tennis bettor bought Tsitsipas at 66¢, but the market has since moved sharply against him to 30¢, making this more of a sharp-wallet watch than a clean momentum copy.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $11.1K lifetime.
- They bought Tsitsipas at 66¢ before a sharp move down to 30¢, so the market is now strongly against the position.
- The market saw a 52x volume spike and a 16-point fast price drop, suggesting major pre-match information flow.
$1,320 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 81%
97% winner backs favorite
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because this is a proven sharp sports wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and over $5.2M lifetime profit making a sizable buy.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $5.2M lifetime.
- They put $28.4K on Tsitsipas at 64¢ in a tennis market with tight odds.
- The wallet has a long 302-bet track record, making the trader more important than the weak alert signal.
$28,367 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x83d2...d196 — Outcome 92870172, $44,324 (97% win rate)
- 0x9ac2...be3d — Outcome 92870172, $35,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x8f3c...2f57 — Outcome 92870172, $13,500 (42% win rate)
- 0x625d...c6a1 — Outcome 92870172, $8,502 (81% win rate)
- 0x2744...7e85 — Outcome 92870172, $7,180 (77% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 92870172, $3,391 (75% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 92870172, $1,422
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 92870172, $1,277 (61% win rate)
- 0xc26a...b715 — Outcome 92870172, $1,273 (26% win rate)
- 0xea32...8870 — Outcome 92870172, $1,056 (42% win rate)
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