Part of: Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesana
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesana
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,096.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Momentum buyer into spike
Moderately interesting momentum trade: Comesana was bought during a 24.8x volume spike and a 21-point price move, though the individual bet is not especially large and the wallet has no strong win-rate edge.
- Comesana’s price jumped 21 points while market volume spiked 24.8x above normal.
- The bettor entered at 84¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢, showing immediate follow-through.
- This is more of a momentum signal than a proven sharp-wallet signal.
$1,724 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 50%
Four-wallet sharp cluster
High-scoring tennis alert with four wallets buying the same side, including a proven 84% winner and a $10M-profitable whale, during a 28x pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $37.6k joined this side.
- Four wallets bought $14.1k in the same direction as volume spiked 28x above normal.
- The largest buyer is up about $10.1M lifetime and re-entered after previously closing a position.
$14,133 on Francisco Comesana
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable high-volume sports bettor with 130 resolved bets bought $6k of Comesana, though the market has moved against the entry since the trade.
- This bettor has a long track record: 58% wins on 130 resolved bets and about $71.8k profit.
- They are a heavy repeat sports trader, active across 117 events with roughly $698k in tracked volume.
- The $6k buy came at 62¢, while the market is now around 57¢, offering a cheaper entry than the trader paid.
$6,000 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp bettor exits favorite
Sharp sports wallet with an 85% resolved win rate exited Francisco Comesana, effectively pointing toward Royer value despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $36.6K lifetime.
- They sold Francisco at 60¢, which is equivalent to backing Royer around 40¢.
- The sale helped drive Francisco down 18 percentage points in about 4 minutes.
$1,975 on Valentin Royer | Wallet win rate: 86%
85% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp profitable sports wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate bought Francisco Comesana at 59¢ and the market has already moved to 61¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $36.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $345K+ deployed across 127 events.
- Bought Francisco Comesana at 59¢, with the market already ticking up to 61¢.
$1,942 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable veteran into momentum
Moderately interesting because a very experienced profitable sports trader bought into a market showing a large pre-event volume spike and rapid price movement.
- This bettor has 50,397 resolved trades and is up $725k lifetime.
- The market saw a 69.6x pre-match volume spike plus an 18-point move in about 4 minutes.
- They bought Francisco Comesana at 55¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
$1,007 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable bettor buying dip
Profitable sports wallet bought Francisco Comesana amid a 45x pre-event volume spike and rapid 18-point market move.
- This bettor has won 17 of 23 resolved bets and is up $61k lifetime.
- The market saw a 45x volume spike and an 18-point move in about 4 minutes.
- Entry at 58¢ implies a roughly 1.7x payout if Francisco Comesana wins.
$3,000 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 63%
Fast tennis momentum move
Royer saw a fast pre/in-match momentum move with a 48.6x volume spike and an 18-point opponent price drop, though the bettor’s long-term edge is modest.
- Royer buying came during a sharp market move, with Comesana dropping 18 points in about 4 minutes.
- Volume is running 48.6x above normal, suggesting the market is repricing quickly around match information.
- The wallet is profitable over a very large sample, up $137k across 3,505 resolved bets.
$3,024 on Valentin Royer | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable serial sports sharp
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader is re-entering Francisco Comesana after a sharp price drop, with supporting volume and price-impact signals.
- This bettor has won 73% of 6,729 resolved bets and is up about $10.1M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,746 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Francisco Comesana at 35¢ after a fast price drop, implying a contrarian re-entry at a much cheaper level.
$1,360 on Francisco Comesana | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a huge track record bought Valentin Royer at 62¢, though the market has since moved against them to 50¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 6,728 resolved bets and is up about $10.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with over $15M deployed across 2,000+ markets.
- They bought Royer at 62¢, while the market is now around 50¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp’s fill.
$2,931 on Valentin Royer | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0x8b52...568e — Outcome 82283241, $79,221 (65% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 82283241, $3,257 (62% win rate)
- 0x37c4...3e8f — Outcome 82283241, $2,503 (54% win rate)
- 0xf5d9...9e0e — Outcome 82283241, $1,848 (76% win rate)
- 0x2e5a...0122 — Outcome 82283241, $1,823 (62% win rate)
- 0x0a26...1851 — Outcome 82283241, $1,557 (76% win rate)
- 0x99d7...6435 — Outcome 82283241, $1,303 (89% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 82283241, $1,177 (74% win rate)
- 0x95a3...cc1b — Outcome 82283241, $985
- 0x6c7a...7625 — Outcome 82283241, $900
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