Part of: Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino

Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Genoa tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Andrea Pellegrino, scheduled for September 9, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances; recent smart-money alerts show a 96% winner signal favoring Andrea Pellegrino, with $34,126 in tracked smart-money activity. The listed resolution date is September 16, 2026, while the rules include a September 23 deadline if no winner has been determined.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,126.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

96% winner adds to Pellegrino

A highly successful serial bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to an existing Andrea Pellegrino position at 49%, despite the market now pricing Andrea near 40%.

  • This bettor has won 86 of 90 resolved positions, earning $346,800 in profit while buying at average odds of 58%.
  • The $5,000 trade adds to an existing $10,204 Andrea Pellegrino position, showing increased conviction rather than routine position management.
  • Andrea is now priced near 40%, making the 49¢ entry a potentially substantial mispricing if the bettor's edge persists.

$5,000 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner backs Pellegrino

A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor is adding to Andrea Pellegrino alongside two coordinated wallets after a sharp market repricing.

  • A bettor with a 96% win rate across 90 resolved positions is adding to Andrea Pellegrino despite the price falling to 28%.
  • Three wallets committed $24,126 to Pellegrino, including a $15,126 effective bet against Valerio Aboian.
  • The coordinated trades followed a 60x volume spike and a 16-point move toward Pellegrino.

$24,126 on Andrea Pellegrino

Whale adds to Pellegrino position

A $10,000 add-on to an existing Andrea Pellegrino position coincided with a massive volume spike and sharp upward price movement, though the wallet lacks a clearly superior historical win rate.

  • This bettor added $10,000 to an existing Pellegrino position, bringing total exposure to nearly $30,000.
  • Market activity surged to 756 times its recent average while Pellegrino moved to a 52% implied chance.
  • The wallet has traded 65 resolved markets and is up $20,257, though its 57% win rate is not clearly above its typical entry odds.

$10,000 on Andrea Pellegrino | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7568...2ce1 Outcome 78852620, $10,204 (96% win rate)
  2. 0xed8e...7ec6 Outcome 78852620, $4,464 (68% win rate)
  3. 0x8829...300c Outcome 78852620, $2,000
  4. 0x71d2...4be6 Outcome 78852620, $984 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x081e...f76e Outcome 78852620, $982 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x2461...f240 Outcome 78852620, $627 (54% win rate)
  7. 0xc0eb...2c46 Outcome 78852620, $401
  8. 0x13c4...4295 Outcome 78852620, $208
  9. 0x4b27...0635 Outcome 78852620, $200
  10. 0x00d1...ae39 Outcome 78852620, $143 (61% win rate)

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Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino

4dGenoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino$39,126 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Andrea Pellegrino in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Andrea Pellegrino. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Valerio Aboian
102¢
59¢
15¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino

1d ago

$5,000 on Andrea Pellegrino at 49¢

Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino

1d ago

$24,126 on Andrea Pellegrino at 35¢

Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Andrea Pellegrino

1d ago

$10,000 on Andrea Pellegrino at 50¢

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