Part of: Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin
Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin
This tennis prediction market covers the Genoa match between Valerio Aboian and Juan Martin, scheduled for September 8, 2026. The market currently shows smart-money activity favoring Aboian, including a sharp cluster and a 95% winner scaling signal; live odds may change before the match. It resolves to the player who advances, with the metadata listing September 15, 2026 as the resolution date and rules referencing a September 22 deadline.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,272.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Bettor behind 47-point market surge
A $4.6K sports bet coincided with a 47.5-point price surge and a 112x volume spike, creating a meaningful informed-flow signal despite the wallet's ordinary win rate.
- A $4,557 bet on Valerio Aboian preceded a 47.5-percentage-point price jump to 91%.
- Trading volume spiked to 112 times its recent average, suggesting unusually strong event-specific conviction.
- The wallet is profitable overall at $3.67M, though its 54% win rate is not a standalone sharp-bettor signal.
$4,557 on Valerio Aboian | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp cluster backing Aboian
Three wallets made a concentrated $13.7K bet on Valerio Aboian, including a highly profitable 82% winner, amid an extreme volume spike.
- Three wallets bought Valerio Aboian for $13,715, despite the market pricing him at only 36%.
- One bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $382,596 lifetime, showing a strong track record.
- The trades represented a major surge in activity and more than half of the market’s reported 24-hour volume.
$13,715 on Valerio Aboian
95% winner scaling into Aboian
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $2,000 to an existing Aboian position in a relatively thin market.
- This bettor has won 95% of 437 resolved trades and is up $388,850 lifetime.
- They added $2,000 to an existing Aboian position at 44%, showing increased conviction in a market with only $683 in 24-hour volume.
- The entry is below the current roughly 47% market price, implying meaningful upside if the bettor's edge holds.
$2,000 on Valerio Aboian | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 28662478, $62,957 (65% win rate)
- 0x5965...935f — Outcome 28662478, $2,194 (65% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 28662478, $1,515 (65% win rate)
- 0xa9fa...5fa9 — Outcome 28662478, $1,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x2b49...d827 — Outcome 28662478, $494
- 0xe723...f14e — Outcome 28662478, $451
- 0x7547...d158 — Outcome 28662478, $439
- 0x940c...6f91 — Outcome 28662478, $425
- 0x35c4...7242 — Outcome 28662478, $400
- 0x5803...3f3f — Outcome 28662478, $288
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