Part of: Germany vs. Curaçao - More Markets
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,667.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor flips Over
Proven profitable sports bettor flipped to Over while the market broke sharply from the 30–35¢ range to 72¢.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $21.8K lifetime.
- They flipped from a closed Under position into Over at 72¢, suggesting a clear change in view.
- Over has surged from the 30–35¢ range to 72¢, with heavy 24h volume supporting the move.
$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable whale cluster buying Under
Three wallets are buying the same Under outcome, led by a high-volume profitable wallet and supported by related positioning across the event.
- Three wallets put $8.3K on Under, with most of the money entering around 62¢.
- The lead wallet is up $1.5M lifetime and has traded over $231M on Polymarket.
- This group has also positioned across 7 related markets in the same event for $34K total.
$8,268 on Under
New profitable sports whale
A 5-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is buying Under with meaningful size on a liquid World Cup totals market.
- This 5-day-old wallet has already been flagged 7 times for large bets, totaling $14.9K.
- The bettor is up $4.26K so far and has won all 3 resolved bets.
- They put $2.8K on Under at 72¢, backing a relatively high-confidence sports total.
$2,800 on Under | Wallet win rate: 83%
85% winner on sports total
Surfaced because a profitable sports bettor with an 85% record is buying Under despite only a modest single-signal alert.
- This bettor has won 85% of resolved bets and is up $2,918 lifetime.
- They bought Under at 74¢, matching a market that currently prices it around 73%.
- Their past wins came at average 58¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten the market on non-obvious spots.
$1,104 on Under | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable cross-market sports whale
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Under as part of a large cross-market position across the Germany vs. Curaçao event.
- This high-volume bettor is up $1.54M lifetime across 78,063 resolved trades.
- The wallet has positioned $355K across 13 related markets in this event.
- Bought Under 5.5 at 72¢, implying confidence that the game stays below 6 total goals.
$1,864 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable cross-market sports whale
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Under as part of a large cross-market position across the Germany vs. Curaçao event.
- This high-volume bettor is up $1.54M lifetime across 78,063 resolved trades.
- The wallet has positioned $355K across 13 related markets in this event.
- Bought Under 5.5 at 72¢, implying confidence that the game stays below 6 total goals.
$2,631 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0x1530...6aaa — Outcome 43335646, $51,877 (57% win rate)
- 0x6d4e...6478 — Outcome 43335646, $41,922 (53% win rate)
- 0x2e78...067e — Outcome 43335646, $27,168 (70% win rate)
- 0xf021...e900 — Outcome 43335646, $22,915 (66% win rate)
- 0xe301...8654 — Outcome 43335646, $14,721 (76% win rate)
- 0x2dba...1d6c — Outcome 43335646, $5,016 (93% win rate)
- 0x564f...d93b — Outcome 43335646, $5,000 (53% win rate)
- 0xfbf4...ac20 — Outcome 43335646, $4,832 (52% win rate)
- 0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 43335646, $4,727 (37% win rate)
- 0x8806...2e83 — Outcome 43335646, $4,655 (79% win rate)
