Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $260,840.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Elite 97% bettor buying Over

Elite wallet with a 97% historical win rate and $3.6M profit bought Over, supported by one-sided cluster flow and cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime.
  • Eight wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $61K on Over.
  • The wallet is also positioned across 3 related markets, showing a broader event thesis.

$9,507 on Over | Wallet win rate: 96%

9-wallet Under surge

High-scoring alert driven by 9-wallet one-sided Under flow, major pre-event volume spikes, and a serial sports trader, though this wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative and the market has already moved sharply.

  • 9 wallets bought Under in the same window, totaling about $45k on one side.
  • Under moved from a 38¢ entry to 54¢ now, showing the market has already followed this flow.
  • This trader is very active across sports, with 1,773 resolved bets and a 61% win rate, though lifetime P&L is negative.

$4,389 on Under | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable trader joins Under flow

A profitable serial cross-market trader sold Over before a major move toward Under, with 9-wallet one-sided Under flow and a large pre-event volume spike corroborating the direction.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 61% wins and about $394K in profit across 234 resolved bets.
  • Nine wallets are all leaning the same way, with about $45K of one-sided Under buying.
  • The trade effectively entered Under at 29¢ before the market moved sharply toward Under.

$5,132 on Under | Wallet win rate: 61%

Sharp cluster buying Under

Large one-sided Under cluster is worth surfacing because multiple profitable sports traders, including a 93% winner up $814k and a $2.6M lifetime winner, bought Under despite the market moving against them.

  • A 93% winning bettor up $814k added to Under around 46¢.
  • 9 wallets put $83.9k on Under, including profitable traders with long track records.
  • Current Under price is 38¢, cheaper than most of the cluster’s 45–47¢ entries.

$83,934 on Under

Perfect-record sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with a 39-0 resolved record made a $20k Over bet, alongside one-sided flow from 8 wallets.

  • This bettor has won 39 of 39 resolved bets and is up $22.5k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 57 events with a perfect resolved record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Eight wallets are also buying Over, with $34.8k of one-sided flow behind the same view.

$20,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

98% winner joins Over cluster

Strong sharp-wallet and coordinated-flow signal: a 54/55 historical winner bought Over for $13.4k while six wallets put $40.9k on the same side amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 54 of 55 resolved positions, with past wins typically bought around 35¢.
  • Six wallets are all buying Over, totaling $40.9k on the same side.
  • Market volume is surging 66x above normal, suggesting a major pre-game repositioning.

$13,356 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%

97% winner leads Over cluster

A highly profitable 97% win-rate bettor led a $58k Over cluster, despite opposing Under flow and a price that has since moved against the entry.

  • The lead bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $3.6M lifetime.
  • They put about $39.5k on Over at 59¢, leading an 8-wallet $58k same-direction cluster.
  • The price has fallen to 46¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp bettor paid.

$58,024 on Over

Profitable new sports wallet

A repeat new-wallet bettor with early profits is making another $3.4k Over bet despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This new wallet is 3-for-3 so far and up $2,693 on resolved bets.
  • It has now been flagged 4 times, with nearly $12k in notable positions.
  • The bettor is buying Over at 57¢, implying confidence in a 3+ goal game.

$3,441 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

89% sports winner buying Over

Sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought Over 2.5 at 57¢ despite this being a liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 17 of 19 resolved positions and is up about $7K lifetime.
  • They bought Over at 57¢, matching the top of the current market rather than waiting for a discount.
  • Entry at 57¢ implies they see Over 2.5 as meaningfully underpriced.

$1,308 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%

New 7-for-7 bettor

A 10-day-old wallet with a perfect 7-for-7 resolved record and $8.8k profit is making another sports bet, despite the market being highly liquid.

  • This new bettor has won all 7 resolved bets and is up $8.8k so far.
  • They have triggered 12 notable bet alerts in under 10 days, totaling $26.9k.
  • Buying Under at 44¢ suggests they see meaningful value against the market’s Over lean.

$1,610 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe549...2d54 Outcome 48934932, $183,810 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x06f2...1269 Outcome 48934932, $161,093 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x8d06...7910 Outcome 48934932, $159,000 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x5f65...2036 Outcome 48934932, $66,960 (96% win rate)
  5. 0xe9a6...627b Outcome 48934932, $36,364 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x51f3...2e03 Outcome 48934932, $33,185 (97% win rate)
  7. 0x1eaf...9bf0 Outcome 48934932, $27,760 (63% win rate)
  8. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 48934932, $20,199 (70% win rate)
  9. 0xa38a...821d Outcome 48934932, $16,990 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 48934932, $13,973 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

Iraq Norway goal fest

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium dominates Iran early

Covers 4 related markets

Czechia wins big early

Covers 3 related markets

Canada Qatar first-half shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Germany wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

Spain, Argentina, Brazil, England or Germany

Covers 7 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring rout

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder cover low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

No Iran peace deal

Covers 3 related markets

France Northern Ireland goals galore

Covers 3 related markets

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

ResolvedGermany vs. Paraguay - More Markets$260,840 tracked15 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Germany and Paraguay combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Paraguay
PAR
1
World Cup
Full Time
Germany
GER
1
GER 6/1PAR 40/1
Venue
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Attendance
63,945
Price History — “Under
102¢
72¢
42¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$9,507 on Over at 59¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$4,389 on Under at 38¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$5,132 on Under at 29¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$83,934 on Under at 46¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$20,000 on Over at 55¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$13,356 on Over at 53¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$58,024 on Over at 59¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$3,441 on Over at 57¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$1,308 on Over at 57¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$1,610 on Under at 44¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$1,760 on Under at 44¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$3,036 on Under at 44¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$1,832 on Under at 44¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

2d ago

$49,511 on Under at 53¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

3d ago

$4,000 on Under at 44¢

Related Theses

Iraq Norway goal fest
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U …Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U …
Belgium dominates Iran early
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half …Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half …
Czechia wins big early
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st …Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st …
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 5 related markets
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U…Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams t…
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to …Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half…
Spain, Argentina, Brazil, England or Germany
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 7 related markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W…Will Argentina win the 2026 FI…Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA …
Thunder win low-scoring rout
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 3 related markets
Spurs vs. ThunderSpread: Thunder (-6.5)Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5
Thunder cover low-scoring game
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 3 related markets
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
No Iran peace deal
Wallet_0xf5592 trades 3 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
France vs. Northern Ireland: O…France vs. Northern Ireland: O…France vs. Northern Ireland: O…