Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,477.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

93% winner match thesis

Elite 93% win-rate sports wallet is adding a sizable Under 3.5 position while also backing Germany, supported by heavy same-event flow and a volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $104,605 lifetime.
  • They bought $3,639 of Under 3.5 at 76¢ while also putting $6,000 on Germany in the same match.
  • Same-event flow is strong: 25 wallets have put $117,686 on Germany, alongside a 64.7x volume spike.

$9,639 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%

Six-wallet Under surge

High-scoring cluster signal: six wallets put $41k on Under alongside a 14x volume spike and strong price move, though the market has already moved sharply to 90%.

  • Six wallets bought the same side for $41k, taking Under entries mostly around 60–80¢ before it moved to 90¢.
  • Volume is 14x normal, with nearly $941k traded in 24h, showing this is broad pre-game momentum rather than one isolated bet.
  • One participating serial cross-market bettor wins 65% of resolved bets and is up about $19k lifetime.

$41,325 on Under

Three-wallet Over push

Three wallets are buying Over together amid a 37x pre-event volume spike, with one profitable high-sample bettor participating despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • Three wallets bought Over within minutes, putting $5.1K on the same side.
  • The move comes during a 37x volume spike before kickoff, with Over ticking up to 36%.
  • The cluster includes a bettor up $29.9K over 253 resolved bets.

$5,134 on Over

86% win-rate bettor

Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate is making a meaningful $12.4k Over bet at 33¢ on a sports totals market.

  • This bettor has won 12 of 14 resolved bets, despite average entries around 50¢.
  • They put $12.4k on Over at 33¢, a clear position that pays about 3x if 4+ goals hit.
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks more like a copyable sharp bet than a thin-market artifact.

$12,379 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4f12...8140 Outcome 78144137, $87,981 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x987b...df43 Outcome 78144137, $62,222 (87% win rate)
  3. 0xa80e...6aa1 Outcome 78144137, $12,737 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 78144137, $12,064 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xdb15...8393 Outcome 78144137, $7,353 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x2952...4e7e Outcome 78144137, $7,143 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x84d0...95ba Outcome 78144137, $3,571 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x1e3b...c850 Outcome 78144137, $3,030 (83% win rate)
  9. 0x69e7...0824 Outcome 78144137, $2,703 (94% win rate)
  10. 0x56f4...9ec5 Outcome 78144137, $2,500 (71% win rate)

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Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

ResolvedGermany vs. Paraguay - More Markets$68,477 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Germany and Paraguay combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

55d ago

$9,639 on Under at 76¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

55d ago

$41,325 on Under at 70¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

55d ago

$5,134 on Over at 35¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5

55d ago

$12,379 on Over at 33¢

Related Theses