Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,477.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
93% winner match thesis
Elite 93% win-rate sports wallet is adding a sizable Under 3.5 position while also backing Germany, supported by heavy same-event flow and a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $104,605 lifetime.
- They bought $3,639 of Under 3.5 at 76¢ while also putting $6,000 on Germany in the same match.
- Same-event flow is strong: 25 wallets have put $117,686 on Germany, alongside a 64.7x volume spike.
$9,639 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Six-wallet Under surge
High-scoring cluster signal: six wallets put $41k on Under alongside a 14x volume spike and strong price move, though the market has already moved sharply to 90%.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $41k, taking Under entries mostly around 60–80¢ before it moved to 90¢.
- Volume is 14x normal, with nearly $941k traded in 24h, showing this is broad pre-game momentum rather than one isolated bet.
- One participating serial cross-market bettor wins 65% of resolved bets and is up about $19k lifetime.
$41,325 on Under
Three-wallet Over push
Three wallets are buying Over together amid a 37x pre-event volume spike, with one profitable high-sample bettor participating despite the market being fairly liquid.
- Three wallets bought Over within minutes, putting $5.1K on the same side.
- The move comes during a 37x volume spike before kickoff, with Over ticking up to 36%.
- The cluster includes a bettor up $29.9K over 253 resolved bets.
$5,134 on Over
86% win-rate bettor
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate is making a meaningful $12.4k Over bet at 33¢ on a sports totals market.
- This bettor has won 12 of 14 resolved bets, despite average entries around 50¢.
- They put $12.4k on Over at 33¢, a clear position that pays about 3x if 4+ goals hit.
- The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks more like a copyable sharp bet than a thin-market artifact.
$12,379 on Over | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x4f12...8140 — Outcome 78144137, $87,981 (90% win rate)
- 0x987b...df43 — Outcome 78144137, $62,222 (87% win rate)
- 0xa80e...6aa1 — Outcome 78144137, $12,737 (53% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 78144137, $12,064 (65% win rate)
- 0xdb15...8393 — Outcome 78144137, $7,353 (73% win rate)
- 0x2952...4e7e — Outcome 78144137, $7,143 (100% win rate)
- 0x84d0...95ba — Outcome 78144137, $3,571 (91% win rate)
- 0x1e3b...c850 — Outcome 78144137, $3,030 (83% win rate)
- 0x69e7...0824 — Outcome 78144137, $2,703 (94% win rate)
- 0x56f4...9ec5 — Outcome 78144137, $2,500 (71% win rate)
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