Part of: Germany vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,672.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor nailed 54¢ Yes

Sharp 82% winner bought Yes at 54¢ before the market moved to 100%, with supporting cross-market positioning and price impact.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up $10.2K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 54¢ before it moved to 100%, a major validation of the read.
  • They also positioned across 3 related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis.

$1,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp cluster chasing Yes

High-scoring cluster with four wallets buying Yes, including a profitable sharp bettor, a serial cross-market trader, and a new profitable wallet, alongside a major price move.

  • Four wallets put $7.3K on the same side, pushing Yes from roughly 45–54¢ to 70¢.
  • One bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and another is up $347K lifetime across 386 resolved positions.
  • A 4-day-old repeat whale has already been flagged 13 times and is up $7.9K early.

$7,256 on Yes

88% winner buys No

Sharp 88% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history bought No on the penalty shootout market, supported by a large price-impact signal.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $47k lifetime.
  • They have traded 50 markets across 28 events, with the same 88% hit rate.
  • Their $2.6k No buy came with a 27-point move, suggesting strong conviction.

$2,635 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp wallets buying No

Three wallets are buying No, including two highly profitable sports-style bettors with strong track records and a serial cross-market pattern.

  • Two profitable bettors are on the same side, including one who wins 88% of bets and is up $47K lifetime.
  • The lead wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with an 88% win record.
  • Three wallets put $5.9K on No during a 37x volume spike, showing coordinated conviction.

$5,881 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x6157...9fb4 Outcome 25270522, $10,000 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xa569...08df Outcome 25270522, $5,000 (35% win rate)
  3. 0x07ea...a6ba Outcome 25270522, $4,342 (87% win rate)
  4. 0xc7ed...6c8b Outcome 25270522, $4,102 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xf695...409f Outcome 25270522, $3,400 (73% win rate)
  6. 0xeff8...68eb Outcome 25270522, $3,331 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 25270522, $2,335 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x145a...5e86 Outcome 25270522, $1,484 (47% win rate)
  9. 0xe459...737d Outcome 25270522, $1,200 (59% win rate)
  10. 0x9124...f819 Outcome 25270522, $1,120 (97% win rate)

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Portugal routs Uzbekistan early

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Belgium scores first

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France wins on June 30

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Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

ResolvedGermany vs. Paraguay - More Markets$17,672 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the match goes to a penalty shootout. This market will resolve to "No" if the match is completed without going to a penalty shootout. For the purposes of this market, a match goes to a penalty shootout if play concludes in a draw after extra time plus stoppage time for that match. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is abandoned before a penalty shootout is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

2d ago

$1,900 on Yes at 54¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

2d ago

$7,256 on Yes at 43¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

2d ago

$2,635 on No at 61¢

Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

2d ago

$5,881 on No at 59¢

Related Theses