Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on April 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on April 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50. Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours trading-hours as listed on Pyth. If a listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. For each trading day, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET on that date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved prior to 4:59 PM ET during that trading day as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the closing price for that day may be determined using the official daily close price of the CME COMEX Gold Futures (GC) futures contract for that trading day. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session will be considered. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,210.

Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Gold, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

89% win-rate macro bettor

An 89% win-rate serial cross-market trader put $4.5k into Down at 90¢ in a thin gold daily market, a credible follow signal despite the modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades across 583 markets and is up $138k lifetime
  • They put $4.5k into Down at 90¢, larger than the market's $4.0k liquidity
  • The market already moved hard toward Down, with odds jumping 38.5 points in a day

$4,500 on Down | Wallet win rate: 89%

89% win-rate macro bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and over 500 resolved wins is buying into a thin Gold daily market, suggesting a sharp but modest-conviction follow signal.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades across 583 resolved markets and is up $138k
  • They have traded 210 markets across 132 events, which points to a repeatable cross-market process rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Down at 90¢ in a thin market with only $759 of liquidity, and the price is already 92¢

$1,710 on Down | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe24c...5e36 Up, $10,249
  2. 0x4060...3ec3 Down, $7,830 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xa540...0b43 Down, $1,962 (42% win rate)
  4. 0x1c94...5b86 Up, $483
  5. 0xce0e...bac2 Down, $416
  6. 0x4e3c...eb49 Down, $383
  7. 0x2797...044c Down, $300
  8. 0x5028...91c5 Up, $217
  9. 0xdd45...a81d Up, $196
  10. 0x80c7...0325 Up, $165

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Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?

4h$6,210 tracked2 signalsFinanceCommoditiesDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceGoldRewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Up
11¢
Down
90¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on April 28, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on April 28, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Gold (XAUUSD) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50. Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours trading-hours as listed on Pyth. If a listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. For each trading day, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET on that date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved prior to 4:59 PM ET during that trading day as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the closing price for that day may be determined using the official daily close price of the CME COMEX Gold Futures (GC) futures contract for that trading day. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session will be considered. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Price History — “Down
94¢
68¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?

1h ago

$4,500 on Down at 90¢

90¢90¢

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 28?

2h ago

$1,710 on Down at 90¢

90¢90¢

Related Theses