What is the Cassone vs Schoolkate prediction market about?

This market lets traders predict which player, Murphy Cassone or Tristan Schoolkate, will advance from their Granby tennis match originally scheduled for July 13, 2026.

When does the Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkate market resolve?

The listed resolution date is July 20, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, allowing time for the match result or any delay-related resolution rules to be determined.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this match?

PolySpotter is tracking $162,094 in smart money connected to this market, including 2 smart money signals and recent alerts such as a sharp rush, whale activity, and underdog backing.

Why do traders watch smart money in tennis prediction markets?

Smart money can highlight activity from historically successful wallets or sharp clusters, which may help traders understand where experienced participants are placing capital before a match resolves.

Part of: Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkate

Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkate

Q: How does the Cassone vs Schoolkate Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves to Murphy Cassone if he advances against Tristan Schoolkate, and to Tristan Schoolkate if he advances against Murphy Cassone. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s specified rules without a winner, special resolution conditions may apply.

This Polymarket covers the Granby tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Tristan Schoolkate, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by July 20, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $162,094 in smart money activity across 2 signals.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $204,285.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

96% win-rate tennis whale

Elite 96% win-rate wallet with nearly $4.9M profit bought $11k of Murphy Cassone, alongside one-sided flow from three wallets and a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $4.9M lifetime.
They put $11k on Murphy Cassone at 53¢, despite the market now pricing him around 45¢.
Three wallets bought the same side for $18k total during a sharp pre-match volume spike.

$15,299 on Murphy Cassone | Wallet win rate: 96%

11-wallet sharp rush

A large 11-wallet Cassone buy cluster included several highly profitable tennis/sports bettors and moved the price from roughly coin-flip to 100%.

Several proven bettors piled into the same side, including wallets with 90%+ win rates and seven-figure profits.
The cluster bought $146.8k of Murphy Cassone shares around 45–58¢ before the market moved to 100%.
Volume exploded more than 2,200x normal, suggesting a sudden information-driven repricing.

$146,795 on Murphy Cassone

Sharp cluster adding together

Surface: three wallets are adding $27.7k to Schoolkate, including two highly profitable tennis-style serial bettors with 91% and 98% historical win rates, amid a major pre-event volume spike.

Two strong bettors are backing the same side, including one who wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $1.78M.
The group added $27.7k on Schoolkate, with all three wallets already holding the same position.
Market volume surged 392x before the match, suggesting a major wave of pre-event positioning.

$27,691 on Tristan Schoolkate

96% win-rate tennis whale

Elite 96% win-rate wallet with nearly $4.9M profit bought $11k of Murphy Cassone, alongside one-sided flow from three wallets and a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $4.9M lifetime.
They put $11k on Murphy Cassone at 53¢, despite the market now pricing him around 45¢.
Three wallets bought the same side for $18k total during a sharp pre-match volume spike.

$11,000 on Murphy Cassone | Wallet win rate: 96%

90% winner backing underdog

Strong tennis bettor with a 90% resolved record is adding to Murphy Cassone alongside one-sided flow from other wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $22K lifetime on nearly $197K invested.
They are adding to Murphy Cassone at 49¢, backing an underdog they appear to think is mispriced.
Three wallets bought the same side for $18K during a major pre-match volume spike.

$2,000 on Murphy Cassone | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp tennis bettor adding

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% record and strong cross-market history is adding to a Murphy Cassone position at 43¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $43.6K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record across 50 events with $180K bet.
They are adding to an existing Murphy Cassone position at 43¢, showing continued conviction.

$1,500 on Murphy Cassone | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 48943335, $76,731 (63% win rate)
0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 48943335, $29,803 (58% win rate)
0x7d6d...2654 — Outcome 48943335, $29,213 (98% win rate)
0xbc8c...273f — Outcome 48943335, $20,000 (78% win rate)
0xd123...d341 — Outcome 48943335, $16,563 (74% win rate)
0xae68...7f0c — Outcome 48943335, $9,620 (80% win rate)
0x32d2...8850 — Outcome 48943335, $8,439 (72% win rate)
0x8e5a...8f58 — Outcome 48943335, $7,888 (84% win rate)
0x31c1...7047 — Outcome 48943335, $3,229 (50% win rate)
0x9da9...453f — Outcome 48943335, $1,734

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Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkate

1dGranby: Murphy Cassone vs Tristan Schoolkate$204,285 tracked6 signalsTennisGamesSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Murphy Cassone and Tristan Schoolkate in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Murphy Cassone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.