What is the Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin prediction market about?

This market lets traders predict which player will advance in the Granby tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Andres Martin.

How does the Arseneault vs Martin market resolve?

The market resolves to Nicolas Arseneault if he advances against Andres Martin, and to Andres Martin if Martin advances against Arseneault.

When is the Granby Arseneault vs Martin market scheduled to resolve?

The match was originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, with market resolution expected by July 20, 2026, depending on whether a winner is determined in time.

What happens if the Arseneault vs Martin match is canceled or delayed?

If the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days past the scheduled date without a winner, the market may resolve according to the exchange’s cancellation or delay rules.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $3,953 in smart money and 2 smart money signals, including alerts from high win-rate sports and tennis bettors, with recent activity indicating backing for Andres Martin.

Part of: Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin

Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Granby tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Andres Martin, scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. It resolves based on which player advances, with final resolution expected by July 20, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $3,953 in smart money across 2 signals, including sharp tennis bettor activity backing Andres Martin.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,086.

Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial tennis bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with a 75% resolved win rate bought Nicolas Arseneault at 35¢ before the market moved to 40¢.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $291k lifetime.
They have bet across 291 events with over $1.05M in tracked cross-market volume.
They bought Nicolas Arseneault at 35¢, and the market has already moved to 40¢.

$2,109 on Nicolas Arseneault | Wallet win rate: 77%

99% tennis sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate bought Nicolas Arseneault despite the market already moving sharply.

This bettor has won 982 of 993 resolved trades and is up about $598K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 352 events with nearly $1M in flagged volume.
They bought Nicolas Arseneault at 77¢ after a major price move, signaling continued conviction.

$1,845 on Nicolas Arseneault | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 99% resolved record bought Nicolas Arseneault at 33¢ despite the market pricing him as the underdog.

This bettor has won 99% of 1,310 resolved positions and is up $15.3M lifetime.
They have traded across 266 events with a strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Buying Nicolas Arseneault at 33¢ backs the underdog after a 10-point daily price drop.

$1,647 on Nicolas Arseneault | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial tennis bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with a 75% resolved win rate bought Nicolas Arseneault at 35¢ before the market moved to 40¢.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $291k lifetime.
They have bet across 291 events with over $1.05M in tracked cross-market volume.
They bought Nicolas Arseneault at 35¢, and the market has already moved to 40¢.

$1,690 on Nicolas Arseneault | Wallet win rate: 77%

97% win-rate sports bettor

Proven sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history added to Andres Martin, though the position has moved against their 57¢ entry.

This bettor has won 88 of 91 resolved trades and is up $34K lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 92 events with a 97% win rate.
They bought Andres Martin at 57¢ and already had an open position in the same direction.

$1,262 on Andres Martin | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp tennis bettor adding

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is adding a large Nicolas Arseneault position after already building exposure at the same price.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $1.35M lifetime.
They put $27.3K more on Nicolas Arseneault and already had $46.5K invested on the same side.
This wallet has traded 62 related sports events with a 92% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.

$27,328 on Nicolas Arseneault | Wallet win rate: 93%

88% serial sports winner

Surfacing because this is a proven high-volume sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit buying Andres Martin.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up about $291k lifetime.
Their wins come at roughly 54¢ average entry, suggesting a strong edge rather than just buying heavy favorites.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 332 events, now backing Andres Martin at 67¢.

$1,221 on Andres Martin | Wallet win rate: 88%

99% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 99% resolved record bought Nicolas Arseneault at 33¢ despite the market pricing him as the underdog.

This bettor has won 99% of 1,310 resolved positions and is up $15.3M lifetime.
They have traded across 266 events with a strong record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Buying Nicolas Arseneault at 33¢ backs the underdog after a 10-point daily price drop.

$1,705 on Nicolas Arseneault | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor sold Arseneault, effectively backing Andres Martin at 69¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has 270 resolved trades, wins 73% of them, and is up $34K lifetime.
They have traded across 36 events with over $205K deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
Selling Nicolas at 31¢ is effectively buying Andres at 69¢, just as market volume spiked 148x above normal.

$4,603 on Andres Martin | Wallet win rate: 73%

Serial bettors backing Andres

A three-wallet one-sided move toward Andres Martin is backed by a major pre-event volume spike and two profitable serial sports bettors, though some flow may be exiting prior Nicolas positions.

Three wallets put $7.6K on the same side, effectively backing Andres Martin.
Two of the bettors have long profitable histories, with 73% and 76% win rates across hundreds of resolved markets.
Market volume spiked 92x before the match, suggesting the move is part of broader pre-event positioning.

$7,595 on Andres Martin

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 90383762, $20,383 (62% win rate)
0x99d7...6435 — Outcome 90383762, $9,394 (89% win rate)
0x2f26...0d8f — Outcome 90383762, $3,085
0x3233...a4dd — Outcome 90383762, $2,716 (66% win rate)
0x8a90...7e68 — Outcome 90383762, $2,470 (100% win rate)
0x3ca9...698d — Outcome 90383762, $2,200 (97% win rate)
0x815f...1eef — Outcome 90383762, $1,823 (88% win rate)
0x9da9...453f — Outcome 90383762, $1,460
0xb627...d968 — Outcome 90383762, $1,100
0xc1f2...b0f3 — Outcome 90383762, $1,050 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin

1dGranby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin$52,086 tracked11 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Andres Martin in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Andres Martin. This market will resolve to 'Andres Martin' if Andres Martin advances against Nicolas Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Andres Martin”

77¢

67¢

56¢