Part of: Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkova
31 smart money signals detected, totaling $284,317.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor fading favorite
Sharp wallet override: an 86% lifetime winner with positive P&L is effectively buying Bartunkova despite weak standalone signals and a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $62K lifetime.
- The trade effectively backs Bartunkova at 27¢ against the heavy favorite.
- Market has moved against the entry, so current Bartunkova odds near 18¢ are cheaper than the bettor’s price.
$2,344 on Nikola Bartunkova | Wallet win rate: 86%
98% winner backing favorite
A highly profitable 98% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history put $33k on Sabalenka, making this a strong sharp-bettor copy signal.
- This bettor has won 58 of 59 resolved bets and is up $248k lifetime.
- They have traded across 62 events with a 98% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They put $33k on Sabalenka at 88–89¢ in a market with tight liquidity.
$11,743 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial trader fades favorite
Despite this wallet's trade looking partly like profit-taking, the market has strong coordinated underdog flow from 7 wallets plus a profitable serial cross-market bettor.
- This bettor has a long track record across 97 events and is up about $170K lifetime.
- Seven wallets have taken the same Nikola Bartunkova side for a combined $73K.
- This trade effectively backs the underdog at 22¢, suggesting a contrarian view against the 84% favorite.
$1,350 on Nikola Bartunkova | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable bettor joins underdog flow
Despite being partly profit-taking from a prior Sabalenka position, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable sports wallet is aligned with a 7-wallet, $73k move toward Bartunkova.
- This bettor has won 70% of 151 resolved bets and is up about $466k lifetime.
- Seven wallets have all moved the same way, putting $73k behind Bartunkova.
- Selling Sabalenka at 85¢ converts to Bartunkova around 15¢, an underdog entry with large upside if the flow is right.
$8,835 on Nikola Bartunkova | Wallet win rate: 72%
Four-wallet Sabalenka steam
Coordinated one-sided buying plus a 29-point rapid price move makes this a notable Sabalenka steam move despite the individual wallet's negative lifetime P&L.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $10.5k on Aryna Sabalenka.
- The price jumped 29 points in 5 minutes, with this trade entering at 50¢ before the market moved to 58¢.
- Volume spiked 10x before the match, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$1,600 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 64%
99% sports winner buying dip
An exceptionally profitable 99% win-rate sports wallet bought Sabalenka, with additional one-sided flow from 6 wallets despite the price moving sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up $453k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 203 events with a 99% historical hit rate.
- Six wallets bought the same side for nearly $30k, even as Sabalenka’s price fell sharply.
$2,842 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 99%
78% winner caught reversal
High-edge sharp wallet sold Nikola at 83¢ ahead of a major reversal, alongside an 8-wallet one-sided Aryna flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $144k lifetime.
- They effectively bought Aryna at 17¢ by selling Nikola before Nikola fell to 44¢.
- Eight wallets put $170k on the Aryna side during a 55x volume spike.
$1,976 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 75%
Elite bettor joining 6-wallet move
Elite 97% win-rate wallet with $1.86M profit bought Bartunkova as part of a larger one-sided move with volume and price momentum.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.86M lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $153k total, pushing Bartunkova up 26 percentage points.
- Their 32¢ entry is already up to 42¢, matching the suggested copy ceiling.
$10,000 on Nikola Bartunkova | Wallet win rate: 96%
8-wallet one-sided surge
High-score alert driven by 8-wallet one-sided buying, a 55x volume spike, and a 33-point price move, though the specific wallet has negative lifetime P&L.
- Eight wallets bought the same side for about $170K, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- Volume is running 55x above normal and the price has jumped 33 points.
- This specific bettor is very active but not profitable overall, so the stronger signal is the broader one-sided flow.
$1,165 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp cluster backing underdog
Four wallets pushed the same underdog side, including one high-performing bettor with an 86% win record and positive lifetime profit.
- Four wallets are all backing Nikola Bartunkova, totaling $7.3K on the underdog side.
- One wallet in the cluster wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $63K lifetime.
- The move came with a sharp price swing, while Bartunkova is still priced near 32¢.
$16,700 on Nikola Bartunkova
Top Holders
- 0x333d...134e — Outcome 10571390, $44,310 (100% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 10571390, $32,408 (46% win rate)
- 0xf9d6...910d — Outcome 10571390, $14,224 (82% win rate)
- 0x6340...e272 — Outcome 10571390, $11,339 (88% win rate)
- 0x749e...1090 — Outcome 10571390, $5,200 (100% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 10571390, $5,068 (49% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 10571390, $4,545 (74% win rate)
- 0x6a00...9158 — Outcome 10571390, $4,545
- 0x710c...78ea — Outcome 10571390, $4,376 (88% win rate)
- 0x9807...157b — Outcome 10571390, $3,300
Related Theses
NaVi wins in three maps
Covers 3 related markets
France or Spain win World Cup
Covers 3 related markets
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
