Part of: Guadalajara Open Akron: Elvina Kalieva vs Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron: Elvina Kalieva vs Kayla Day
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Guadalajara Open Akron match between Elvina Kalieva and Kayla Day, scheduled for September 13, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with one recorded smart-money signal and recent trading activity backing both sides; the market rules set a resolution deadline of September 27, 2026.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,725.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
93% win-rate tennis specialist
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 93% win rate and 41-point edge is taking a fresh $1,500 position on Kayla Day at 44%.
- This bettor has won 93% of 2,678 resolved positions and is up $2.37 million.
- They are making a fresh $1,500 bet on Kayla Day at 44%, despite the market currently pricing her at 42%.
- The wallet has traded across 687 events, providing an unusually large and consistent track record for this signal.
$6,244 on Kayla Day | Wallet win rate: 93%
Serial trader scaling into Kayla Day
A serial cross-market trader added $7.6K to an existing Kayla Day position amid a 374x volume spike and rising odds, though the wallet's historical edge is modest.
- A 374x surge versus historical volume accompanied this $7,649 purchase, with Kayla Day's odds rising 6.5% over the day.
- The bettor is adding to an existing $25,656 Kayla Day position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
- This wallet has traded 129 events and is up $99,225, but its 60% win rate is only modestly above its average winning entry price of 59¢.
$7,649 on Kayla Day | Wallet win rate: 56%
93% winner backs Kayla Day
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor joined a three-wallet Kayla Day cluster during a 516x volume spike, despite the position currently trading below entry.
- One bettor has won 93% of 2,678 resolved positions and earned $2.37M in profit.
- Three wallets committed $13,905 to Kayla Day during a 516x historical volume spike.
- The cluster entered around 48¢ on average, implying substantial upside if Kayla Day wins despite the current 32¢ price.
$30,032 on Kayla Day
93% win-rate tennis specialist
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 93% win rate and 41-point edge is taking a fresh $1,500 position on Kayla Day at 44%.
- This bettor has won 93% of 2,678 resolved positions and is up $2.37 million.
- They are making a fresh $1,500 bet on Kayla Day at 44%, despite the market currently pricing her at 42%.
- The wallet has traded across 687 events, providing an unusually large and consistent track record for this signal.
$1,500 on Kayla Day | Wallet win rate: 93%
Elite bettor backs Kalieva
A highly proven bettor with an 87% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a fresh $1,300 position on Elvina Kalieva at 41%.
- This bettor has won 87% of 605 resolved bets and is up $412,165 lifetime.
- The $1,300 purchase backs the 40% underdog at 41¢, despite the market pricing Kayla Day at 60%.
- The wallet has traded 84 events and 85 markets, showing a repeatable cross-market track record rather than a one-off bet.
$1,300 on Elvina Kalieva | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x0353...c2ff — Outcome 52471027, $15,000 (81% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 52471027, $9,407 (87% win rate)
- 0xb5ed...d25f — Outcome 52471027, $5,752
- 0x3663...8950 — Outcome 52471027, $5,520 (41% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 52471027, $5,412 (64% win rate)
- 0x4699...5051 — Outcome 52471027, $4,000 (12% win rate)
- 0x081e...f76e — Outcome 52471027, $2,972 (93% win rate)
- 0xa24e...1be8 — Outcome 52471027, $1,577 (71% win rate)
- 0x0054...59ff — Outcome 52471027, $1,211
- 0xcb9f...a6c0 — Outcome 52471027, $1,028
