Part of: Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

This Guangzhou tennis prediction market tracks whether Elias Ymer or Semen Pankin advances in their match scheduled for September 14, 2026, at 4:00 AM ET. PolySpotter monitors market odds and smart money activity, including recent signals involving both players; the market resolves according to the exchange’s official match and deadline rules.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,901.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

99% winner leads Ymer cluster

A highly profitable serial trader and two other wallets concentrated $13,501 on Elias Ymer at 37% despite a sharp recent price decline.

  • A bettor who wins 99% of 1,237 trades and is up $1.17M bought Elias Ymer at 37%.
  • Three wallets committed $13,501 to Ymer while the outcome had fallen 30% over the past day.
  • The entry implies the group sees meaningful value below the 40% market price, though one participant has a weaker track record.

$9,201 on Elias Ymer

Proven bettor buys Pankin

A highly experienced bettor with 31,155 resolved trades and $7.5M profit made a sizable tennis bet during an extreme volume spike, despite the price later falling.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 31,155 resolved trades and is up $7.5M lifetime.
  • A $1,147 position on Semen Pankin arrived during a 429x volume spike across six trades.
  • The market has since fallen from 67¢ to 60¢, offering a potentially better entry but signaling adverse momentum.

$1,147 on Semen Pankin | Wallet win rate: 66%

Three profitable bettors buy the underdog

Three highly experienced, profitable bettors simultaneously bought the 34–35% Semen Pankin underdog, creating meaningful coordinated sports-market flow despite one wallet already holding a position.

  • Three wallets placed roughly $3,100 on Semen Pankin at 34–35%, representing about two-thirds of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The bettors have extensive histories and are collectively profitable, including one with a 61% win rate and $498,000 in reported profit.
  • One wallet was adding to an existing Semen Pankin position, while the other two trades suggest fresh coordinated conviction.

$6,554 on Semen Pankin

Top Holders

  1. 0x2e6c...0c51 Outcome 67166338, $64,491 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x3663...8950 Outcome 67166338, $6,917 (41% win rate)
  3. 0x9015...281f Outcome 67166338, $3,450 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xfc87...dd68 Outcome 67166338, $1,930 (43% win rate)
  5. 0xb5ed...d25f Outcome 67166338, $1,891
  6. 0x4699...5051 Outcome 67166338, $1,667 (12% win rate)
  7. 0x9c3c...e8c9 Outcome 67166338, $1,510 (95% win rate)
  8. 0x58a2...c1c2 Outcome 67166338, $1,178 (95% win rate)
  9. 0x8118...783c Outcome 67166338, $999
  10. 0xff81...44c9 Outcome 67166338, $746 (56% win rate)

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Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

5hGuangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin$16,901 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Semen Pankin in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Semen Pankin. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Elias Ymer
72¢
61¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

6d ago

$9,201 on Elias Ymer at 37¢

Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

6d ago

$1,147 on Semen Pankin at 67¢

Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin

6d ago

$6,554 on Semen Pankin at 35¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
KOI wins series after 1-1 start
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Mo…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …
KT Rolster Challengers win series
Wallet_0x076da trades 4 related markets
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster …LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster …Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs …
Aurora wins after splitting maps
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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere …
JD take series, WE games
Wallet_0x076da trades 5 related markets
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Ga…LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5…LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Ga…
Conflicting Brazil Haiti blowout bets
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Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U…Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Türkiye beats United States
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Will Türkiye vs. United States…Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…
Early goals, Jordan keeps it close
Wallet_0x076da trades 5 related markets
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half…
Ecuador will not beat Germany
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Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25…Will Germany win on 2026-06-25…Will Ecuador vs. Germany end i…