Part of: Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Naoya Honda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,627.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
88% winner scaling into Honda
A proven 88% winner added roughly $42,000 at 89¢, driving an extreme volume spike and a move to near certainty.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $40,487 lifetime.
- They added about $42,000 to an existing Honda position at 89¢, showing strong conviction.
- The trade coincided with a 30,000x historical volume spike and Honda has since moved to 100%.
$42,282 on Naoya Honda | Wallet win rate: 89%
Serial sharp bettor ahead of surge
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Naoya Honda at 82¢ before a 24-point price jump amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 66% of 31,869 resolved trades and is up $7.7 million lifetime.
- The 82¢ Honda purchase preceded a 23.6-percentage-point move to 100¢.
- Trading volume surged over 30,000 times its historical average, reinforcing the significance of the entry.
$1,635 on Naoya Honda | Wallet win rate: 69%
Coordinated flow led by profitable whale
Four wallets coordinated on Basilashvili, including a highly profitable 64% win-rate trader, though the position has since fallen well below its roughly 74¢ blended entry.
- Four wallets committed $6,710 toward Basilashvili, including a trader with a 64% win rate and $49.6M lifetime profit.
- The cluster’s effective entry was roughly 74¢, showing strong original conviction in Basilashvili.
- The market is now around 56%, so the position has moved against them and two participating wallets have historically lost money.
$6,710 on Nikoloz Basilashvili
Related Theses
Belgium won't beat Egypt
Covers 3 related markets
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Covers 6 related markets
Cloud9 wins a five-game series
Covers 3 related markets
KOI wins series after 1-1 start
Covers 4 related markets
Cloud9 beats LYON in series
Covers 3 related markets
Team WE stages impossible comeback
Covers 3 related markets
MOUZ rallies from Map 1 loss
Covers 3 related markets
MOUZ wins Map 1, Spirit series
Covers 3 related markets
Hanjin Brion sweeps LGD
Covers 4 related markets
NAVI wins the series and Map 2
Covers 3 related markets
