Part of: Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
This Polymarket market covers the Guangzhou Open match between Paula Badosa and Harriet Dart, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026. A recent PolySpotter alert says 93% of the tracked winner-backing signal supports Harriet Dart; this is a smart money signal, not necessarily the market’s current odds. The market resolves to the player who advances, with the listed resolution date of November 6, 2026, and fallback rules applying if no winner is determined by November 12.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Harriet Dart. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,739.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Four-wallet Badosa buying cluster
Four wallets bought Paula Badosa amid a 126x pre-event volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite the lead wallet's unremarkable track record.
- Four wallets bought Paula Badosa, totaling $7,361 in coordinated bets.
- Trading volume surged to 126 times its historical average as this position was opened.
- The lead bettor has a large history, but its 57% win rate does not clearly beat its average winning-entry odds.
$2,418 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 57%
Five-wallet cluster with proven winners
Five wallets bought Harriet Dart for $8,825, including several with substantial profitable track records, making the coordinated direction worth following despite mixed individual edge.
- Five wallets put $8,825 on Harriet Dart, with several adding to existing positions.
- Three wallets show lifetime profits above $800,000; one has a 75% win rate across 706 resolved bets.
- The buys averaged about 68¢, near the current 68% odds.
$9,633 on Harriet Dart
93% winner backs Harriet Dart
A highly profitable bettor with 702 resolved positions and a 93% win rate bought Harriet Dart at 31¢, a strong underdog position.
- This bettor has won 656 of 702 resolved positions and earned about $1.1M.
- They bought Harriet Dart at 31¢ while the market prices her around 30%, backing the underdog in a tennis match.
- The wallet has traded across 663 events, showing an extensive track record beyond this single bet.
$2,689 on Harriet Dart | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Paula Badosa, $14,954 (64% win rate)
- 0x277b...31fa — Paula Badosa, $14,082
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Paula Badosa, $6,439 (73% win rate)
- 0xc8e2...920d — Paula Badosa, $2,261
- 0x6379...c035 — Paula Badosa, $2,056 (80% win rate)
- 0x58e4...73f9 — Paula Badosa, $1,615 (48% win rate)
- 0x77d5...732e — Paula Badosa, $1,295 (48% win rate)
- 0xa1fa...729a — Paula Badosa, $1,250 (98% win rate)
- 0x1f64...3633 — Paula Badosa, $1,242
- 0x58e8...ff0f — Paula Badosa, $1,144
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