Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakin
This Polymarket covers the Gwangju tennis match between Alex Bolt and Ilia Simakin, originally scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is never played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $9,397 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent Simakin cluster alert and a sharp sports signal at 50¢.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Ilia Simakin in the Gwangju, originally scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,541.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
3-wallet Simakin cluster
Three wallets with strong realized profits piled into Ilia Simakin around 49-50¢ during a sharp volume burst, and the Alex Bolt sell converts to the same directional view.
- Three wallets aligned on Ilia Simakin for about $9.4k in a coordinated burst, including one bettor up $5.8M lifetime.
- Two of the wallets have massive sample sizes and strong profits, with one winning 73% of 3,105 resolved bets.
- They bought around 49-50¢, so the thesis is that this match is closer to a coin flip or better for Simakin than the market implied.
$9,397 on Ilia Simakin
Pro sports sharp at 50¢
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought Ilia Simakin at 50¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢.
- This bettor has won 2,270 of 3,105 resolved trades and is up $5.8M lifetime
- They trade heavily across sports markets at scale, with $7.4M tracked across 959 markets
- Bought Ilia Simakin at 50¢ and the price has already moved up to 56¢
$3,144 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x2005...75ea — Alex Bolt, $20,639 (54% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Ilia Simakin, $17,260 (73% win rate)
- 0x6832...831f — Alex Bolt, $15,201
- 0x5e0c...cab8 — Ilia Simakin, $9,247 (0% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Ilia Simakin, $8,568 (50% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Ilia Simakin, $5,125
- 0x6eb7...a0f1 — Alex Bolt, $4,800 (0% win rate)
- 0x38c2...d3a7 — Alex Bolt, $4,081 (53% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Ilia Simakin, $3,761 (50% win rate)
- 0x86fb...03d4 — Ilia Simakin, $2,328 (61% win rate)
