Part of: Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustino
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustino
This prediction market covers the Hagen tennis match between Matej Dodig and Lorenzo Giustino, scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled by August 12, 2026; $19,110 in smart money is tracked across two signals, including alerts backing Dodig.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,124.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite bettor adds to Dodig
A highly successful tennis bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial historical edge added $3,500 to an existing Matej Dodig position.
- This bettor wins 84% of 187 resolved trades and is up $477,668 lifetime.
- They added $3,500 to an existing Matej Dodig position, showing increased conviction despite the market moving down to 64%.
- Their average winning entry is 59%, while this position was bought around 67–68%, indicating a confident view that Dodig is undervalued.
$10,400 on Matej Dodig | Wallet win rate: 85%
Competing sharp tennis clusters
A major linked-wallet cluster bought Dodig while several high-performing bettors rotated into contrarian Giustino, creating an unusually informative two-sided tennis market.
- Ten linked wallets bought $43,302 of Matej Dodig, while the price rose 27 percentage points to 80%.
- Two bettors with 79% and 81% win rates positioned for Lorenzo Giustino, including one adding to an existing large position.
- The opposing flows and 78.5x volume spike make this a high-conviction but highly contested market.
$8,710 on Matej Dodig
Sharp cluster backing Dodig
Five-wallet one-sided flow, including four highly profitable sharp bettors, drove a 63x volume spike and a 13.5-point move toward Matej Dodig.
- Five wallets bought $13,514 of Matej Dodig, including bettors with 84%, 93%, and 95% win rates.
- The market saw a 63x volume spike and moved 13.5 percentage points toward Dodig.
- Most of the coordinated wallets were adding to existing Dodig positions, reinforcing rather than initiating the thesis.
$13,514 on Matej Dodig
Proven sharp bettor backs Dodig
A highly proven tennis-market bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,500 bet on Matej Dodig.
- This bettor has won 84% of 187 resolved positions and is up $477,668 lifetime.
- Their results imply a meaningful edge: they typically win at odds averaging 54% while paying around 59%.
- The fresh $1,500 position backs Matej Dodig at 67%, despite current odds easing to 64%.
$2,000 on Matej Dodig | Wallet win rate: 85%
Elite bettor adds to Dodig
A highly successful tennis bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial historical edge added $3,500 to an existing Matej Dodig position.
- This bettor wins 84% of 187 resolved trades and is up $477,668 lifetime.
- They added $3,500 to an existing Matej Dodig position, showing increased conviction despite the market moving down to 64%.
- Their average winning entry is 59%, while this position was bought around 67–68%, indicating a confident view that Dodig is undervalued.
$3,500 on Matej Dodig | Wallet win rate: 85%
Proven sharp bettor backs Dodig
A highly proven tennis-market bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,500 bet on Matej Dodig.
- This bettor has won 84% of 187 resolved positions and is up $477,668 lifetime.
- Their results imply a meaningful edge: they typically win at odds averaging 54% while paying around 59%.
- The fresh $1,500 position backs Matej Dodig at 67%, despite current odds easing to 64%.
$1,500 on Matej Dodig | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp serial bettor scaling into Dodig
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 79% win rate is adding $1,500 to an existing Matej Dodig position at 67%.
- This bettor wins 79% of 562 resolved trades and is up $152,395 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,500 to an existing Dodig position, bringing total investment to $3,739.
- The 67¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Dodig already trading as a 66% favorite.
$1,500 on Matej Dodig | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xca97...49f6 — Outcome 38465136, $34,721 (85% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 38465136, $11,310 (84% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 38465136, $7,907 (96% win rate)
- 0xbf00...1199 — Outcome 38465136, $7,679 (94% win rate)
- 0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 38465136, $5,000 (72% win rate)
- 0xbc72...c9d0 — Outcome 38465136, $2,886 (97% win rate)
- 0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 38465136, $2,091 (95% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 38465136, $1,860 (79% win rate)
- 0xf59e...7183 — Outcome 38465136, $1,800 (62% win rate)
- 0x01fa...cea7 — Outcome 38465136, $1,794 (37% win rate)
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