Part of: Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

This prediction market covers the Halle Open tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Alexander Bublik, scheduled for June 16, 2026, with resolution by June 23, 2026 if a winner is determined. The market resolves to the player who advances, and PolySpotter is tracking $7,379 in smart money across 3 signals, including sharp activity around underdog backing and Bublik buying clusters.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,639.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

99% winner backing underdog

Surface: a highly profitable 99% win-rate wallet and other profitable flow backed Alexander Bublik amid a sharp live price swing.

  • A bettor who wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $418K bought this side at 49¢.
  • Three wallets backed the same outcome within minutes, while the price swung 28 points in that direction.
  • Current odds around 46¢ are below the sharp wallet’s 49¢ entry.

$3,833 on Alexander Bublik

Profitable serial sports trader

A massively profitable serial sports trader re-entered Bellucci during a violent price move, though the position is now far below their 89¢ entry.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 15,624 resolved bets, 65% wins, and about $15.8M in lifetime profit.
  • They re-entered Bellucci at 89¢ after previously closing a much cheaper 24¢ position, suggesting fresh conviction rather than just holding old shares.
  • The market has been extremely volatile, with Bellucci moving outside its prior range and now trading far below this bettor’s entry.

$2,046 on Mattia Bellucci | Wallet win rate: 65%

99% win-rate sports sharp

Surface: this is an exceptionally proven sports bettor with 99% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit buying Bublik despite only modest size.

  • This bettor has won 722 of 729 resolved bets and is up $418K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $587K tracked across 187 events and a 99% hit rate.
  • They bought Bublik at 49¢ after a sharp price move, implying they still saw value near even odds.

$1,500 on Alexander Bublik | Wallet win rate: 99%

Linked Bublik buying cluster

Three wallets, including two sharing a funder, bought Bublik in a coordinated burst that drove a sharp pre-match price move amid a huge volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought $4.7k of Bublik in the same burst, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • The market saw a 792x volume spike and Bublik jumped from 60¢ to 72¢ within minutes.
  • Two participating wallets are lifetime profitable, including one up $612k across thousands of resolved trades.

$5,015 on Alexander Bublik

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Bellucci during a large pre-event volume surge, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 66% wins over 786 resolved bets and $434K lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 130 events with over $1.2M in detected volume.
  • The entry was 51¢, but Bellucci has fallen to 28¢, so the market is now offering a much cheaper follow-on price.

$1,247 on Mattia Bellucci | Wallet win rate: 66%

94% winner backs underdog

Elite sharp wallet with 94% historical win rate and +$3.7M P&L bought the underdog, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
  • They bought $5.0K of the underdog at 28¢, implying a payout of about 3.6x if right.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $9.1M deployed across 475 events.

$4,998 on Mattia Bellucci | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xeaf3...e802 Outcome 84345202, $16,479 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x88d1...18da Outcome 84345202, $7,000 (69% win rate)
  3. 0xf402...ce7a Outcome 84345202, $4,944 (41% win rate)
  4. 0x6982...a165 Outcome 84345202, $3,061 (99% win rate)
  5. 0xc905...850b Outcome 84345202, $2,410 (41% win rate)
  6. 0xde21...594d Outcome 84345202, $2,100
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 84345202, $1,899 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xa804...2a75 Outcome 84345202, $1,714 (84% win rate)
  9. 0x9ec2...bd08 Outcome 47288422, $1,574
  10. 0x2374...a426 Outcome 84345202, $1,349 (86% win rate)

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Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

6dHalle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik$18,639 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Alexander Bublik in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Mattia Bellucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Alexander Bublik
77¢
63¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

7h ago

$3,833 on Alexander Bublik at 49¢

Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

7h ago

$2,046 on Mattia Bellucci at 89¢

Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

7h ago

$1,500 on Alexander Bublik at 49¢

Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

7h ago

$5,015 on Alexander Bublik at 64¢

Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

7h ago

$1,247 on Mattia Bellucci at 51¢

Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik

8h ago

$4,998 on Mattia Bellucci at 28¢

Related Theses