Part of: Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
This prediction market covers the Hamburg European Open match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Aleksandar Kovacevic, scheduled for May 20, 2026. It resolves based on which player advances, with final resolution expected by May 27, 2026 if the match is completed within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $21,272 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including alerts around underdog buying and favorite fading.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,297.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable wallets buying underdog
Four wallets, including two profitable high-volume bettors, collectively took $18.7k of Felix exposure during a major tennis market repricing.
- Four wallets put $18.7k behind Felix, mostly at 14–21¢, and the market has already moved to 38¢.
- One bettor is up $1.25M lifetime, and another is up $104k with a 61% win rate.
- This came during a huge volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction around a fast-changing match price.
$18,675 on Felix Auger-Aliassime
Profitable new wallet fading favorite
A 5-day-old wallet with $78.7k profit and repeated large flagged bets sold Felix amid a massive pre-match volume spike and major price move.
- This new bettor is already up $78.7k with 8 wins and 0 losses on resolved trades.
- The wallet has been flagged 20 times in 5 days, with $141.9k total in notable bets.
- Felix’s price collapsed from the 78–88¢ range, alongside a 3,223x volume spike.
$1,128 on Aleksandar Kovacevic | Wallet win rate: 100%
News-driven tennis repricing
Market-wide volume and price collapse suggest new information against Felix, but the individual wallet has negative lifetime P&L and appears to be closing a losing Felix position.
- Felix’s price fell sharply from the 78–88¢ range, with a 3,223x volume spike before the match.
- The trade effectively backs Kovacevic at 86¢ after a major market repricing.
- Caution: this bettor is down $79k lifetime and was closing a prior Felix position bought around 94¢.
$1,470 on Aleksandar Kovacevic | Wallet win rate: 67%
Proven 80% sports winner
A highly proven serial sports trader with 80% wins and +$464k lifetime P&L bought $5k of Felix Auger-Aliassime at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $464k lifetime.
- They have traded across 711 events with $3.7M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $5k buy at 78¢ is already better than the current 80¢ market price.
$5,000 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 80%
86% win-rate bettor
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, making even a modest $1,025 favorite bet worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $6,122 lifetime.
- They put $1,025 on Felix at 88¢, a large bet versus the market’s recent quiet activity.
- The entry is on a heavy favorite, but this wallet has a long 125-bet track record.
$1,025 on Felix Auger-Aliassime | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x1fd6...ce58 — Outcome 11267521, $10,694 (35% win rate)
- 0x8394...1f61 — Outcome 11267521, $10,011
- 0x112a...679d — Outcome 11267521, $10,000
- 0xbf9f...d173 — Outcome 11267521, $10,000
- 0xfb31...7b95 — Outcome 11267521, $10,000 (23% win rate)
- 0x8505...e4dd — Outcome 11267521, $9,970
- 0x8006...2fe0 — Outcome 11267521, $8,943 (0% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 11267521, $7,928 (100% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 11267521, $7,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 11267521, $6,410 (80% win rate)
