Part of: Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik
This Polymarket tennis market covers the Hamburg European Open match between Ignacio Buse and Jakub Mensik, scheduled for May 20, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 27, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $12,521 in smart money and 1 signal tied to this market.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,042.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Four-wallet underdog push
Four wallets put $14.8k on Jakub Mensik during a major pre-match volume spike, though the market has since moved against their entries and the wallets do not show a standout track record.
- Four wallets backed the same underdog, putting $14.8k on Jakub Mensik.
- Market volume spiked 64x above its historical pace around these trades.
- Current price is 16¢, below their roughly 20¢ average entry.
$14,849 on Jakub Mensik
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor bought the underdog during a major pre-match volume spike, making this worth tracking despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor is up about $358K lifetime with 57% wins across 109 resolved bets.
- They have traded 61 events and $477K across similar cross-market positions, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- They bought Jakub Mensik at 40¢ during a 105x volume spike, while the market now prices him closer to 28¢.
$7,944 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market sports trader bought Ignacio Buse at 53¢ before the market moved to 60¢.
- This bettor has won 70% of over 24,000 resolved trades and is up $171k lifetime.
- They bought Ignacio Buse at 53¢, and the market has already moved to 60¢.
- This wallet has traded across 314 events with $1.18M in detected cross-market volume.
$1,874 on Ignacio Buse | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying Ignacio Buse at 41¢ despite the market pricing him as the underdog.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 24,547 resolved bets with $171k lifetime profit.
- They have traded across 313 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 41¢ backs the underdog and implies a potential ~2.4x payout if Buse advances.
$1,867 on Ignacio Buse | Wallet win rate: 70%
80% winning serial bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Jakub Mensik in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $17.5k lifetime.
- They have traded across 37 events with over $103k in tracked cross-market volume.
- Entry at 62¢ implies a solid favorite bet on Mensik advancing.
$2,042 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 80%
One-sided sharp tennis flow
High-score tennis alert with three wallets buying $13.3K of Ignacio Buse amid a 97x volume spike and 30-point price move, including profitable high-volume bettors.
- Three wallets bought $13.3K of Ignacio Buse in the same window as his price surged from 53¢ to 83¢.
- Market volume is running 97x above normal ahead of the match, with the flow all on one side.
- One serial sports bettor has a 70% win rate across 314 events, while another wallet is up $1.26M lifetime.
$13,307 on Ignacio Buse
Perfect-record sports sharp
Elite sports wallet with a perfect 46/46 resolved record and $334k profit bought Jakub Mensik amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 46 of 46 resolved trades and is up $334k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 53 events with a perfect resolved record.
- Bought Jakub Mensik at 62¢ during a 2,322x pre-event volume spike.
$1,100 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 100%
$10.8M profitable sports sharp
Highly profitable serial sports trader bought Ignacio Buse at 38¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 7,331 resolved bets and is up $10.8M lifetime.
- They are a massive serial sports trader, active across 1,809 events with over $16M flagged in cross-market volume.
- The market saw a 2,322x pre-event volume spike, and this buy at 38¢ is already marked up to about 40¢.
$4,826 on Ignacio Buse | Wallet win rate: 72%
93% win-rate sports sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $920k profit bought Jakub Mensik at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $920k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.16M tracked across 81 events.
- Entry at 60¢ implies a solid favorite price from a wallet with a long winning record.
$2,233 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 93%
Proven winner buying favorite
Sharp high-volume sports bettor with a 75% long-term win rate and +$1.5M P&L is buying Jakub Mensik at 60¢.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $1.5M lifetime.
- They have traded across 82 events and 103 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They closed a small Buse position and moved into Mensik at 60¢, signaling a fresh directional view.
$1,000 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x3936...366d — Outcome 74513081, $32,168 (100% win rate)
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 74513081, $23,963 (93% win rate)
- 0xef1b...8697 — Outcome 74513081, $19,710 (58% win rate)
- 0x31b3...9548 — Outcome 74513081, $16,005
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 74513081, $11,152 (53% win rate)
- 0x1258...0c15 — Outcome 74513081, $10,000
- 0x5ba6...0f07 — Outcome 74513081, $10,000 (38% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 46166726, $8,293 (80% win rate)
- 0x5cef...1839 — Outcome 74513081, $7,000
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 74513081, $5,121 (75% win rate)
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