Part of: Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff

This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Hamburg European Open match between Jakub Mensik and Jan-Lennard Struff, scheduled for May 18, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $10,316 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, including alerts pointing to underdog backing from profitable sports bettors. The market is set to resolve by May 25, 2026, based on which player advances, with cancellation or excessive delay rules applying if no winner is determined.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,745.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable whale underdog cluster

A highly profitable sports whale joined a 3-wallet underdog buy cluster on Struff amid a large pre-event volume spike, and the market has since moved to an even cheaper price.

  • The largest buyer is up over $10.1M lifetime across 6,752 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought the same underdog for about $8.9K total before the match.
  • They entered Struff around 24¢, while the market now prices him closer to 14¢.

$8,901 on Jan-Lennard Struff

$10M-profit serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with $10.1M lifetime profit bought Mensik during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 6,751 resolved bets and is up $10.1M lifetime.
  • They bought $5.4K of Jakub Mensik at 77¢, adding conviction despite Mensik already being the favorite.
  • Market volume spiked 157x above normal before the match, suggesting broader sharp interest.

$5,447 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 73%

92% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and $147k profit bought $6.2k of Mensik at 77¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $147k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 57 sports events and $187k in similar positioning.
  • A $6.2k buy at 77¢ backs Mensik despite the market already pricing him as the favorite.

$6,198 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable wallet backs underdog

A profitable wallet made a $3.2k underdog bet that was nearly 10x the market's recent quiet-volume baseline, suggesting notable conviction despite only a modest track record.

  • This bettor is up about $7.8k lifetime and just put $3.2k on the 30% underdog.
  • The bet was nearly 10x the market’s quiet-volume baseline, a large move for this tennis market.
  • Entry at 29¢ implies a roughly 3.4x payout if Struff advances.

$3,200 on Jan-Lennard Struff | Wallet win rate: 47%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 Jan-Lennard Struff, $80,519 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x5c92...4e7c Jakub Mensik, $40,152 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Jan-Lennard Struff, $34,516 (73% win rate)
  4. 0xcd3f...8e2b Jakub Mensik, $28,274 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x51e1...5ec9 Jan-Lennard Struff, $26,424 (44% win rate)
  6. 0xe4d3...c2f0 Jakub Mensik, $25,000 (68% win rate)
  7. 0xf2ce...5462 Jakub Mensik, $23,640 (98% win rate)
  8. 0x1136...0c2e Jakub Mensik, $19,154 (49% win rate)
  9. 0xc5dc...7cf2 Jakub Mensik, $18,555 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x59f4...c1f1 Jan-Lennard Struff, $16,305 (40% win rate)

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Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff

4dHamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff$23,745 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames
Jakub Mensik
100¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Jakub Mensik
102¢
86¢
69¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff

2d ago

$8,901 on Jan-Lennard Struff at 24¢

24¢0¢24¢

Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff

2d ago

$5,447 on Jakub Mensik at 77¢

77¢100¢23¢

Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff

2d ago

$6,198 on Jakub Mensik at 77¢

77¢100¢23¢

Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struff

2d ago

$3,200 on Jan-Lennard Struff at 29¢

29¢0¢29¢

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