Part of: Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

This prediction market covers the Hamburg European Open tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Camilo Ugo Carabelli, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 25, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $5,901 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts suggesting sharp support for the underdog.

This market refers to the tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Kamil Majchrzak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,590.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable trio on underdog

Three profitable, high-volume wallets clustered on Majchrzak at roughly 29¢ in a liquid tennis market, with the price now modestly above their entries.

  • Three wallets bought the same underdog, totaling $6.6K on Majchrzak around 29¢.
  • Two of the wallets are up over $600K lifetime despite betting very high volume.
  • The market has already moved to 32¢, suggesting their entry is getting early confirmation.

$6,622 on Kamil Majchrzak

87% sports sharp

Sharp sports wallet with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Kamil Majchrzak despite the market moving against that side.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $155,841 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 38 events, 41 markets, and $76,527 traded.
  • They bought Kamil Majchrzak at 44¢, while the market is now around 38¢.

$2,450 on Kamil Majchrzak | Wallet win rate: 87%

89% winner backs underdog

A proven sharp tennis bettor with an 89% win rate and over $1M in lifetime profit bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 56¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.03M lifetime.
  • They have beaten market-implied odds by a wide margin across 63 resolved positions.
  • They bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 56¢, while the market is now around 51¢.

$2,869 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable bettor riding spike

A highly profitable repeat bettor put $14.7k on Majchrzak amid a sharp pre-match volume and price surge.

  • This bettor is up about $615k lifetime across $20.7M traded.
  • They bought $14.7k of Majchrzak at 57¢, over half of the market’s 24h volume.
  • Majchrzak’s price is up 17.5 points today alongside a major pre-match volume spike.

$14,650 on Kamil Majchrzak | Wallet win rate: 54%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5bec...b215 Kamil Majchrzak, $69,103 (54% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $38,941 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $19,927 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xe4d3...c2f0 Kamil Majchrzak, $10,000 (68% win rate)
  5. 0x5268...135d Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $9,485 (53% win rate)
  6. 0xb184...b6c6 Kamil Majchrzak, $6,974 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x363c...4463 Kamil Majchrzak, $5,063 (41% win rate)
  8. 0xdb83...1e50 Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $4,533 (68% win rate)
  9. 0x2005...75ea Camilo Ugo Carabelli, $2,650 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x18a4...3a31 Kamil Majchrzak, $2,531 (54% win rate)

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Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Kamil Majchrzak
8¢
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
93¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Kamil Majchrzak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Camilo Ugo Carabelli
83¢
72¢
60¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

14m ago

$6,622 on Kamil Majchrzak at 29¢

29¢8¢21¢

Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

30m ago

$2,450 on Kamil Majchrzak at 44¢

44¢8¢36¢

Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

52m ago

$2,869 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 56¢

56¢93¢37¢

Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

1h ago

$14,650 on Kamil Majchrzak at 57¢

57¢8¢49¢

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